85th Academy Awards Odds

The film industry’s biggest night is almost here. For movie fans, it means they’ll get a chance to see which of their favorite performances form the year will be rewarded and which films will take home the top prizes. For bettors, as always, the Oscars presents an opportunity to make some money. Bovada.lv has odds on all the award categories, but it’s no secret that odds makers aren’t the best at predicting award shows. However, that’s good for film lovers and industry followers like us! Here are our picks for some of the night’s biggest awards.

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) - 1/50, Sally Field (Lincoln) – 14/1, Helen Hunt (The Sessions) – 25/1, Amy Adams (The Master) – 25/1, Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook) -50/1

Hathaway is a massive favorite here for her performance in Les Miserables and considering she has already taken home a ton of awards for the role – including the Golden Globe – she will likely win this one. However, at 1/50, you aren’t going to make any money even if she does. The best value picks in this category are Sally Field and Amy Adams. Field has garnered a lot of attention for her  turn as Mary Todd Lincoln, while Adams has already been nominated for several Oscars, but has never won. Considering the Academy loves to award performers after they’ve paid their dues, she could be a dark horse contender as well.

Best Supporting Actor

Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) – 5/4, Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) – 5/4, Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) – 13/2, Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) – 15/2, Alan Arkin (Argo) – 40/1

This category is more of a toss up. Waltz won the Golden Globe this year, but he recently won an Oscar in 2010 for Inglorious Basterds, so the Academy might not give him another. However, every actor is this category has at least one Oscar, while De Niro has two. This makes Hoffman and Arkin good value picks, but if you want to play it safe, go with Jones or Waltz.

Best Actress

Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) – 4/7, Emannuelle Riva (Amour) – 11/4, Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) – 15/4, Naomi Watts (The Impossible) – 33/1, Quvenzhane Wallis (The Beasts of the Southern Wild) – 50/1

Lawrence is the frontrunner here, but Chastain is the best choice considering her value and chance to win. She likely has just as good a chance to win as Lawrence since both actresses claimed Golden Globes for their roles. Lawrence did win the SAG, which is a good sign she might take home the gold statue, but Chastian received an equal amount of praise and attention. The others here are huge longshots. Take Chastain at 15/4.

Best Actor

Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) – 1/50, Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) – 10/1, Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) – 33/1, Denzel Washington (Flight) – 40/1, Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) – 40/1

Now this is a shoo-in if I’ve ever seen one. Not only has Day-Lewis won all the awards this season, but this role was tailor-made Oscar bait and there’s no way the Academy won’t bite. Even though Day-Lewis is already an Oscar-winner, the Academy seems to love him, so there’s almost no way he won’t win. However, it wouldn’t hurt to put a couple of dollars down on Hugh Jackman just in case. Jackman is certainly deserving and the Academy likely loved his role in Les Miserables, so just for value sake go Jackman.

Best Director

Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) – 1/4, Ang Lee (Life of Pi) – 4/1, David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), Michael Haneke (Amour) – 14/1, Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Most would consider this a shoo-in as well for multiple Oscar winner Spielberg, but I actually like Ang Lee here. Not only do you get more value, but Lee has a good chance to win considering he adapted, what most considered to be, an unfilmable novel into one of the most gorgeous pictures of the year. The other candidates are pretty significant long shots, so take Lee here.

Best Picture

Argo – 1/7, Lincoln – 5/1, Silver Linings Playbook – 25/1, Les Miserables – 50/1, Life of Pi – 50/1, Django Uncahined – 50/1, Zero Dark Thirty – 66/1, Amour – 100/1, Beasts of the Southern Wild – 100/1

With Argo picking up steam in recent weeks, it has nabbed the top odds for Best Picture, but it is far from being the film with the best value. It’s a surprise that Argo is regarded so highly considering it is not up for any of the other three biggies – Best Director, Best Actor and Best Actress. There’s actually a good chance the Academy will go elsewhere with their vote, perhaps towards Les Miserables or even Zero Dark Thirty, which some considered the frontrunner just a couple of months ago. I like ZDT for the best value at 66/1 but Les Miz or even Life of Pi would not be bad picks. You could go Argo, but it is being way overvalued, so I would stay away.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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