The AFC South division was more competitive last season, as the Houston Texans had to fight off Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts to win the division title by a single game.
This season should have the same battle between the Texans and Colts, with the other team teams, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans fighting to stay out of the cellar.
Last season Houston ended the regular season with a record of 12-4 SU and 9-7 ATS. This season sportbooks such as Bovada have given the Texans a win total of 10.5 and odds to be division champ of -230.
Last season through 12 games, Houston looked to be the league’s best team as they opened 11-1 SU. The Texans starting this season should remain the top team in the AFC South and should win the division unless they are besieged by injuries.
However, their collapse at the end of last season at 1-3 SU in their last four games was worrisome for players and coaches, let allow odds makers and bettors.
If Arian Foster stays healthy and has a good season running the ball, the offense can rely less on the erratic play at quarterback of Matt Schaub. However, when the Texans play teams that can stop the run, they will struggle, especially when they are laying points.
Pick: Win total: Over
Indianapolis had a very good season during Andrew Luck’s first season under center. The Colts were 11-5 SU and ATS. This season sportsbooks like betonline are giving the Colts a win total of 8.5 and odds to win the division of +260.
Luck will have a much better season as he will be able to read defenses better and not just play using his raw talent, but his intelligence as well. He had 23 passes for touchdowns and over 4,370 yards passing.
The Colts have the advantage of a weak schedule with most of their tougher games being played at home. The Colts record last season was deceiving as they were the only team in the league to reach the postseason with a negative differential in points scored. Six wins were by 4 points or fewer. They will be overvalued this season in NFL odds.
The Tennessee Titans were 6-10 SU and ATS last season and this season have been given a win total of 6.5 and odds to win the division of +960 by sportsbooks such as topbet.
The offense for Tennessee will rest on the shoulders of their quarterback Jake Locker. He needs to have a good running game to open up his passing opportunities. The team must also limit its turnovers. Tennessee has a proved runner in Chris Johnson and could surprise enough teams to end the season with a winning record but that is doubtful.
Defensively the Titans were horrible last season allowing 471 total point while only scoring 330 a differential of -141. Tennessee lost seven of its games by 14 points or more and three by 28 or more.
The Jacksonville Jaguars last season were 2-14 SU and 7-9 ATS. This season they have a win total of 4.5 and odds of winning the division of +3400. The team has a new coaching staff led by Gus Bradley the head coach and Jedd Fisch the offensive coordinator.
Things will not change much however, and Jacksonville will continue to be one of the league’s worst teams.