The West Region final tips off tonight from the Staples Center in Los Angeles between the No. 2 ranked Arizona Wildcats and the No. 1 seeded Wisconsin Badgers.
The current line has Arizona favored by 1.5 points with the point total sitting on 133.5.
Wisconsin is playing a second rematch in this tournament as, the Badgers eliminated Oregon for the second consecutive year. Now, the team meets Arizona who they knocked out of the tournament last season 64-63 in overtime.
In that win, Wisconsin erased an early deficit of eight points and took a lead of 5-points late in the game. The game eventually went to OT and Frank Kaminsky the talented big man for Wisconsin scored 6 points in the extra period to win the game.
Arizona defeated Xavier 68-60 to reach this point. The win was Arizona’s 14 straight.
Arizona did not cash as a favorite by 11.5 points.
Over the past five games played, Arizona is 2-3 against the number after going 13-2 ATS in 15 games prior to that.
Wisconsin’s win on Thursday was its 9 straight. The Badgers covered 6-point chalk in its 79-72 win over North Carolina.
The Badgers are an underdog for just the first time all season. Last season they also were given points in their 74-73 loss to Kentucky in the Final Four as a dog of one point.
Last season against Arizona, the Badgers were 3.5-point dogs and triumphed by 1 point.
The Badgers were 0-4 against the number to end February, but have gone 5-3 ATS over their past 8 games. The three ATS losses were on spreads as a favorite by 12 or more points.
Arizona did not have Brandon Ashley their 6-foot-9 forward in last year’s tournament game. This season he is scoring 12 points per game and hauling down 5 rebounds. He will likely play head to head with Kaminsky.
In Elite 8 Saturday’s the last decade, the underdog is 14-6 ATS. Wisconsin is 8-3-1 against the number in its past 12 games in the NCAA Tournament. Arizona is 15-5 against the number in its past 20 games overall.
With both teams mirror images of one another in a number of ways, especially when it comes to defense this game is hard to pick.
Arizona has revenge on its mind and has had one year to let it bother them.
The Wildcats not only did not have Ashley but nor did they have freshman sensation Stanley Johnson last season against Wisconsin.
I like Arizona and the UNDER.