So, you’re going to bet Monday Night Football this week and you’re asking what do I look for? What’s a good bet to make for this much-anticipated matchup between a Peyton Manning led Broncos team and the always solid Atlanta Falcons? Fact is, any bet can be a good one, as long as it is based on the facts and what we know about these two teams. Here’s what to expect and what you should look for tonight in the Broncos vs. Falcons game.
Atlanta and Denver are both coming off week one wins where each squad looked equally impressive. The Falcons were nearly flawless on offense in a 40-24 win over the Kansas City Chiefs, while the Broncos celebrated Manning’s comeback to the NFL by sticking it to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 31-19. There’s no doubt that these two squads are similar in many respects. They both have smart, mostly mistake-free QBs, strong ground attacks and solid defenses. We should expect a close game with the spread at three points and because of this; it’s usually not very profitable to bet the moneyline. However, Bovada has the Broncos at +150 and the Falcons at -170 for this game. Since it really could go either way, I would take Denver at +150, as the Falcons at -170 won’t earn you much even if you win.
As mentioned above, the spread for this one if three points with Atlanta being marked as the favorite. That could be mainly due to the fact that Atlanta is at home, but we know Peyton Manning to be a road warrior. This guy has won in every building in his career. The question will be can Denver’s defense stop Atlanta’s high-powered offensive attack? The Broncos probably won’t be able to stop it on the road, but they definitely have the talent and speed on the defensive side of the ball to keep up. Elvis Dumervil, Champ Bailey, Von Miller and Co. held the Steelers to 284 total yards last week. Since Denver could easily win this game outright, take them as a +3 point dog as well to cover on the road.
Bovada has the over/under set at 51 points for this game. When you look at last week, these two teams scored a combined 61 points in their wins. However, we have to consider the defenses they faced in those wins. Atlanta looked great against a pretty bad Chiefs D and will assuredly score fewer points against that speedy Denver defense mentioned earlier. Denver put up 31 on arguably one of the best defenses in the league in Pittsburgh, but seven of those came off an interception return. These teams are strong on both sides of the ball, but don’t expect this to be a shootout. Look to bet the under on 51 points as both teams should look to run the ball in a close game and use some clock.