2015 NFL Draft Props

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The NFL will take center stage on Thursday April 30 in Chicago when the NFL Draft begins. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the No. 1 overall pick and are almost certain to select former Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston.

Bookmakers are so certain of this that many offshore books have already stopped taking action on whom the No. 1 pick will be in the draft.

The odds makers feel why take any more money on what already looks to be a certainty.

However, while the intrigue over who will be chosen No. 1 is now gone, there is still much debate over who the rest of the picks will be. Because of that, there is an array of NFL Draft props available to the bettor.

Marcus Mariota the winner of the Heisman Trophy has been picked by many to be the No. 2 overall draft pick on Thursday by the Tennessee Titans. Nevertheless, many suitors exist in the league for Mariota and that means he very well could be traded by the Titans to a host of different teams. Amongst the teams showing a great deal of interest in the quarterback are the New York Jets, the Philadelphia Eagles and the Cleveland Browns.

While running backs are no longer fashionable with a high pick, two backs are expected to be selected in the first round. Todd Gurley from Georgia and Melvin Gordon from Wisconsin both should factor in the first round. Gurley torn his ACL last November, but that has not kept teams from being interested in his services. Gordon broken the single game rushing yards record this past season, only to see his record broken the following week.

The following are a few examples of the different props that are available to NFL bettors during the NFL Draft this week. Offshore sportsbooks Bovada, betonline, topbet and sportsbook.com have these and more to choose from.

Who will be chosen No. 2 overall

Marcus Mariota -550

Kevin White 7 to 1

Leonard Williams 8 to 1

Dante Fowler 10 to 1

The Field 6 to 1

Which NFL team on Sunday at the conclusion of the NFL Draft will have the rights to Mariota?

Titans +125

Browns 5 to 2

Jets 7 to 2

Eagles 4 to 1

Chargers 10 to 1

Rams 30 to 1

Texans 60 to 1.

Draft Position for Amari Copper

Over 5.5 (+190), Under 5.5 (-220)

Draft Position for Kevin White

Over 7 (-120)

Under 7 (-120)

Draft Position for Todd Gurley

Over 14.5 (-150)

Under 14.5 (+125)

Draft Position for Melvin Gordon

Over 22 (-120)

Under 22 (+125)

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Odds for 20 NFL Teams to Make the 2015-16 Playoffs

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The NFL season will not start for another four plus months, but that does not stop bookmakers from releasing odds for futures betting.

One sportsbook in Las Vegas and others offshore have opened the wagering for the playoff prospects of 20 NFL teams during the upcoming 2015-16 season.

Indianapolis and Seattle are the two teams with the shortest odds to make the NFL postseason, with their Yes side at -350. Those two teams are followed by defending NFL Champions the New England Patriots at -320 to enter the playoffs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are -130 to reach the postseason this NFL season after not making the playoffs this past season when the team lost three of its final four games and finished just 10-6.

New Orleans also did not reach the playoffs last season, but are at even money to reach the postseason this season.

Four teams from last year that made the playoffs – Carolina, Cincinnati, Detroit and Arizona are underdogs the return the postseason. Of the four, the one with the longest odds is Arizona at +155.

These odds reflect trades that took place during the signing of free agents. However, the NFL Draft is Thursday and that could help change this board, as teams look for the best group of draftees they can acquire.

The New England Patriots were listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl next season after winning the Vince Lombardi trophy this season. This season Seattle is also expected to be strong in the NFC, battling with the Packers, Cowboys and Eagles for a spot in the postseason.

New England in this poll is No. 2 to reach the playoffs, with Indianapolis at the top.

2015-16 NFL Playoff Prop

Colts: Yes -350, No +275
Seahawks: Yes -350, No +275
Patriots: Yes -320, No +250
Packers: Yes -280, No +230
Broncos: Yes -230, No +185
Cowboys: Yes -140, No +110
Eagles: -130, No +100
Ravens: Yes -120, No -110
Steelers: Yes -115, No -115
Saints: Yes +100, No -130
Panthers: Yes +120, No -150
Bengals: Yes +120, No -150
Texans: Yes +120, No -150
Lions: Yes +130, No -170
Chiefs: Yes +135, No -165
Bills: Yes +140, No -170
Chargers: Yes +145, No -175
Cardinals: Yes +155, No -185
Dolphins: Yes +155, No -185
49ers Yes +175, No -210

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Blazers, Bucks Facing Elimination Tonight

JT
JT

Can Jeff Teague and the Hawks gain a 3-1 advantage or will they head back to Atlanta tied at 2?

Atlanta (-4.5) at Brooklyn – The Nets came out flying in Game Three and then held on to beat the top-seeded Atlanta Hawks by eight to pull the series to 2-1 in favor of the Hawks. The win has to give Brooklyn some serious confidence heading into tonight’s Game Four because they played the Hawks tough in the first two games of the series in Atlanta.

While neither team was above 39% shooting from the field, the Hawks were absolutely abysmal from three-point range. They shot just 20% and top gunner Kyle Korver was 0 for 5 on the evening. Obviously that has to change dramatically because shooting the trey is such a big part of his and the Hawks’ overall offenisve game plan.

Oddly enough, Atlanta outscored the Nets 25-2 in fastbreak points and also held a 20-point advantage in points in the paint.

Trends: Atlanta is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games… Brooklyn is 8-2 straight in their last 10 games at home… The Hawks are 8-17 SU in their last 25 games at Brooklyn… The Nets are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against Atlanta.

The Pick: All signs make me think  Atlanta bounces back but I’ll take the Nets tonight getting the points.

Bulls

The Bulls need to bounce back and playing at home should help that.

Milwaukee (+8.5) at Chicago – When is the last time you saw a team win the rebounding battle with just 39 boards? That’s what happens when one team shoots almost 50% from the field and 56% from three-point territory. I guarantee you that Chicago Head Coach Tom Thibodeau will not allow his team to be so lazy on the defensive end in Game Five.

Conversely, look for the Bulls to take better care of the basketball as well. They turned the ball over 26 times in Milwaukee’s Game Four victory and I see both the defensive and offensive lapses as a result of being up 3-0.

Trends: Milwaukee is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against the Bulls… Chicago is 7-1 straight up in their last eight games… The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games at Chicago… The Bulls are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games versus the Bucks.

The Pick: I like the Bulls to cover at home to end the series.

Memphis (+3) at Portland – From most reports, Memphis guard Mike Conley is looking at facial surgery. His status for the coming games is questionable at best until any medical procedures are done. Credit the Grizzlies with taking Portland’s best shot after Conley went out in the third quarter of Game Three. Credit them even more for eventually putting the Blazers away.

Portland was dominated in the paint in Game Three by a total of 48-30. If Portland is going to even stay in this series that margin has to be narrowed significantly. If you’re looking for a piece of history that might help the Blazers come back and win this series then forget it. The last time Portland came back from a 2-0 deficit was the 1977 NBA Finals.

Trends: Portland is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games… Memphis is 6-1 straight up in their last seven games on the road in Portland… The Blazers are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games at home… The Blazers have made just 21 more three-pointers than the Grizzlies over their last ten games despite attempting 117 more threes then they have.

The Pick: Despite the loss of Conley, I like Memphis to cover tonight.

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American Pharoah Odds on Favorite at 141st Kentucky Derby

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On May 2, horsing fans and bettors will be focused on Churchill Downs for the 141st running of the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert one of the best trainers in horseracing should saddle the top two favorites in the race.

American Pharoah is currently listed as the favorite at 3 to 1, on most sportsbooks, while Dortmund a stablemate is currently 4 to 1. Trainer Richard Violette has Upstart next in line at 9 to 2.

The morning line odds are to be posted upon the postposition draw at Churchill Downs on Wednesday.

Since 1978, horseracing has waited for a Triple Crown winner. That year Affirmed won the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont.

However, this year, American Pharoah is being showered with superlatives. The horse is just 10 to 1 to win the three races. One sportsbook is offering odds of 7 to 1 for any horse to win the Triple Crown in 2015.

One horse agent that has been in the business for over 35 years says American Pharoah is the best horse he has ever seen.

He called American Pharoah the Michael Jordan of horseracing. He stays in the air for so long and its seems he does not have just one gear remaining but possibly two or more, added the agent.

Of course, the veteran Baffert is holding back on his excitement. Baffert said the horse surprises him each time he runs and that he was looking forward to everything going well. However, he will still need a bit of racing luck, like getting a decent post, will have to break well and get the trip. Baffert added that a great deal could happen around the track so nothing will be taken for granted.

Here are the current odds for the 141st Kentucky Derby along with a few props.

American Pharoah    3/1

Dortmund                4/1

Carpe Diem             12/1

Upstart                                9/2

Mubtaahji                 12/1

Materiality               12/1

Frosted                       14/1

Firing Line               15/1

International Star 15/1

El Kabeir                   22/1

One Lucky Dane        25/1

Keen Ice                    25/1

War Story                 30/1

Itsaknockout              30/1

Bolo                        30/1

Danzig Moon              35/1

Frammento             40/1

Madefromlucky          50/1

Stanford                    50/1

Tencendur                60/1

Ocho Ocho Ocho        60/1

Mr. Z                       60/1

Bold Conquest             75/1

St Joe Bay                125/1

Pain and Misery         150/1

Firespike                   150/1

Metaboss                  150/1

The Truth or Else   250/1

Task from glory          150/1

Props

Will American Pharoah win – Yes +310, No -380

Will a Horse win the Triple Crown – Yes +700, No -380

Will a horse win two of the three races in the Triple Crown Yes +140, No -160

Kentucky Derby Official Winning Time – Over/Under 202.2

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MLB Thoughts on the DH and Early Season Surprises

Max
Max

Max Scherzer sprained his thumb while batting and he thinks the National League needs the DH because of it.

If you want to see the ultimate in knee-jerk reaction than I give you Major League Baseball. Two pitchers in the National League both went down with injuries and both did so while batting. Cue the “We need the DH in the National League” screams.

In St. Louis, Cardinals’ fans are dealing with the loss of star pitcher Adam Wainwright. He is out for the season with an Achilles’ injury suffered while legging out a struck ball to first base. His injury is far worse than that of Washington Nationals’ pitcher Max Scherzer who suffered a sprained thumb while batting today against the Miami Marlins.

“If you look at it from the macro side, who’d people rather see hit: Big Papi or me?” Scherzer told CBS Sports. “Who would people rather see, a real hitter hitting home runs or a pitcher swinging a wet newspaper? Both leagues need to be on the same set of rules.”

Actually, Scherzer has it backwards. What I’d like to see is pitchers actually take hitting more seriously and I’d like to see the American League do away with the designated hitter altogether.

Wainwright

Adam Wainwright is likely out for the season after an injury suffered while batting.

God forbid we actually force American League managers to have manage a game rather than just send guys up to hit bombs all the time. That may be a stretch but I think you know exactly what I’m talking about. Look at Joe Maddon for example, the new skipper of the Chicago Cubs. He came over from Tampa Bay which is an American League team.

He’s already batted pitchers in the eighth spot rather than the traditional ninth in order shake things up increase the chances of an actual fielder in the ninth hole serve as a “second lead-off man.”

Another reason you have pitchers bat is to shorten games. Ya I know, time is money right? The longer fans are at the ball park the more beer, soda, food and merchandise they buy. Well count me as one who would much rather watch a 2 hour and 30 minute game than a three or four hour slugfest. I’m probably in the minority on that but too bad. I get more out of watching a good 4-3 game then I’ll ever get out of 10-7 one.

Want to eliminate the Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox brawling every other game? Get pitchers up there in the box. I’m not saying for one minute that pitchers batting would eliminate benches clearing or guys getting beaned but I would be willing to bet that you’d see a drastic reduction in such actions. Teams are not going to sacrifice one of their starting arms just for “revenge.”

At the end of the day, I get it; chicks really do dig the long ball don’t they? I’ll bet they’d also dig being able to get out of the stadium in under five hours too.

MLB a Month In – With baseball about a month old, here’s what I’m seeing so far in the early season.

Biggest Surprises: Tampa Bay Rays, New York Mets and Houston Astros. Did you see any of these three teams leading their divisions even this early?

Biggest Disappointments: Washington Nationals, Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Indians. It’s early, but there are some disturbing trends already emerging with these teams.

Manager on the Hottest Seat: Matt Williams, Nationals. This team was basically penciled in as the NL East winner from day one and many experts had them winning the World Series.

Best Offseason Acquisition: Alfredo Simon, Tigers. With Justin Verlander still not ready to go, Simon’s 4-0 record has been a welcome sign for the Central leading Tigers.

 

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Bookmakers Offering an Array of Props for Mayweather Jr …

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The highly anticipated “fight of the century” between Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao is just five days away. The two will meet on May 2 in Las Vegas at the MGM Grand.

Bookmakers sense a big opportunity with the upcoming bout as bettors are eager to bet on the bout and bookmakers have obliged by offering a number of props that will help make the overall betting handle much bigger.

Props that are not typically seen are now being offered by sportsbooks online and in Las Vegas. The new props have started to attract attention at many of the sites and in casinos.

The traditional way most bet on boxing is the moneyline or the over/under with regard to how many rounds the fight will go. For this bout however, the books have gone outside the box to offer a number of different options.

Bettors can choose from knockdown props, the number of rounds each fighter will win and the over/under on the scorecards of the judges.

One casino is even offering an OVER of 4.5 rounds as well as the conventional one of 11.5 rounds. However, the OVER on that is -800 meaning you need to bet $800 to win $100.

Another drawing a great deal of action is based on a yes/no. The prop is will there be a knockdown in the fight. The No opened as the favorite at -180. The Yes has attracted interest.

Bettors can also place a bet on whether both the fighters will be knocked to the canvas. The No opened at -2500 and is now at -2000, while the Yes opened at +1600 and is down to +1300.

At the MGM Grand where the fight will be held, the total for the judge’s scorecards opened at Mayweather 346.5 and Pacquiao 336.5, with the 10-point must system in boxing, the maximum points one fighter can have after 12 rounds is 360.

There have been a large number of small tickets on the props with betting ranging from $10 to $50. There have been some over $100 and a handful over $1000.

Some smaller bettors get tempted to go for a home run with a long shot prop such as selecting the round that a knockout will take place. However, those types of bets have very little value.

The props for exact round are not that good of an idea. They look attractive to the eye with 50 to 1 on a knockout in round 10, but they have very little value. However, betting on the fight’s outcome has its value and the odds might by lower, but the value is there.

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Celtics, Raptors and Mavericks All Looking for Life

DN

 

DN

Could this be it for Dirk Nowtizki and the Mavericks?

Three teams could be headed for the offseason if they don’t turn things around today in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

Cleveland (-7.5) at Boston – I know it’s hard to swallow but if I’m a Boston Celtics’ fan and I’m down 0-3, there is actually something to be positive about. These Celtics under Brad Stevens have made tremendous strides this season and really have given the Cavaliers a lot more than most people thought they would.

If we stay in the present however, the Cavaliers are a win away from advancing to a huge showdown with Chicago and I guarantee if they get past the Bulls, they’ll be grateful they had the competition they did from Boston.

Trends: Cleveland is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games on the road… Boston is 6-3 straight up in their last nine games… The Cavaliers are 5-2 SU in their last seven games in Boston… The Celtics have won 17 of their last 23 games at home against the Cavs.

The Pick: Take the Celtics getting the points.

Rivers

Doc Rivers can only hope to be smiling after game four tonight.

LA Clippers (+6) at San Antonio – The Clippers were outrebounded by just nine and were dead-even in points in the paint with the Spurs at 40 apiece. At one point in game three however they trailed by 37 points. Hard to believe following the two excellent games the teams played in Los Angeles. When you’re held to 34% shooting and 26% in three-point shooting, it really doesn’t matter what else you may be even in with your opponent.

The Spurs turned up the defense and hit early shots to put the Clippers away before they even got their sneakers squeaky in game three. Obviously the Clips know they can’t go down 3-1 so I expect them to give every effort to make sure they are even going back to Cali. That said, if they should fall and go on to lose the series, questions will intensify about just how tough this Clippers team is.

We’ll see how they fare before we go there though.

Trends: The Clippers are 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games against the Spurs… San Antonio is 5-0 straight up in their last five games at home.

The Pick: I’ll take the Clips to bounce back.

Toronto (+5.5) at Washington – Done. Over. Get me the fork because the Toronto Raptors are fully cooked. Yes teams have come back from 0-3 deficits before but it’s not happening in this series and the biggest reason why happens to be 37 years old.

Paul Pierce isn’t ready to hit the rocking chair yet and he’s playing like it. I don’t see him letting this team fall.

Trends: Toronto is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games… Washington is 8-3 straight up in their last 11 games.

The Pick: Give me the Wizards to cover and close out the series.

Houston (-2.5) at Dallas – When you have one player who scores 42 points and another who grabs 26 rebounds I would say your chances of winning that game are pretty darn good. That was the case for Houston in game three as James Harden poured in 42 points and Dwight Howard recorded all those rebounds and they needed every one of both for the two-point win.

I give Dallas credit; I honestly thought between Chandler Parsons’ absence and Rajon Rondo’s ineffectiveness that the Mavs would just pack it in but they didn’t. That said, I don’t expect this series to return to Houston and that’s a shame. I thought this was going to be a classic.

Trends: Houston is 7-1 straight up in their last eight games against the Mavericks… Dallas is 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine games against the Rockets.

The Pick: I’ll take the Rockets to cover.

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