#1 Indiana travels to Columbus on Sunday to take on #10 Ohio State in a huge Big Ten showdown. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET from Value City Arena.
Both sides will be looking to rebound from tough midweek losses. The Hoosiers lost 74-72 on a last second buzzer beater in Illinois, whilst the Buckeyes fell in controversial circumstances at Michigan. That game finished 76-74 after overtime.
With a loss already this week, both sides can expect to take a hit when the AP poll is released on Monday, but how much of a hit will depend on how the sides fair on Sunday. One thing is all but certain; Indiana will not be #1 next week.
#2 Michigan came up short on Saturday, losing in overtime at Wisconsin. That result added a new outlook to the Big Ten standings.
A win for #12 Michigan State means the Spartans currently top the conference, but a win for Indiana – currently sitting in second place – would see the Hoosiers leapfrog the side from East Lansing. A win for Ohio State would see the Buckeyes pass Michigan, Wisconsin, and Indiana for second place.
Indiana (20-3, 8-2 Big Ten) will look to utilize its offense to take care of the Buckeyes. The Hoosiers average 83.3 points per game, second in the nation behind Northwestern State (84.3 PPG). This high-scoring output comes on the back of .501 shooting (6th) and .426 three-point shooting (2nd).
Ohio State (17-5, 7-3 Big Ten) will turn to its defense to get the job done. The Buckeyes hold opponents to 58.1 points per game, a mark good enough for 20th in the nation. The side also holds opponents to .383 shooting (21st). Indiana may have held opponents to .380 shooting (20th), but the deliberate pace set by Ohio State limits scoring.
After Indiana’s loss on Thursday, Ohio State is the favorite entering the game. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home, having lost only to Kansas, back on Dec. 22. Meanwhile, Indiana is 4-1 in true road games. That one loss came midweek in Illinois.
Ohio State has a hurdle to leap though. The Buckeyes have gone 1-5 against teams ranked in the AP top 25. Losses to Duke, Kansas, Illinois, Michigan State, and Michigan have many wondering if Thad Matta’s side has what it takes to defeat top tier sides. Those five losses have come by an average of 7.4 points per game. The Buckeyes’ one ranked win was at home to Michigan on Jan. 13.
Indiana has had no such struggles against AP top 25 sides. The Hoosiers have defeated North Carolina, Minnesota, Michigan State, and Michigan.
There’s a twist in the tale though. Ohio State has met Indiana twice previously when the Hoosiers were the top-ranked side. On Jan. 8, 1983, the Buckeyes handed the Hoosiers a 70-67 defeat. On Feb. 23, 1993, the Buckeyes scored an 81-77 overtime victory over the Hoosiers. That makes Ohio State 2-0 against a #1 Indiana side. If that wasn’t enough; both of those games were played at Ohio State.
The two sides split a pair of regular season games last year, with both sides winning on their home court. Indiana won 74-70 in Bloomington, while Ohio State won 80-63 in Columbus.
The point spread opened at 1½.
ATS records favor Ohio State. The Buckeyes has compiled a 12-8-0 ATS record this season, which includes an 8-4-0 ATS record at home, and a 10-7-1 ATS record when playing as the favorite. Indiana meanwhile is 11-10-0 ATS all told, with a 3-4-0 ATS record on the road. The Hoosiers will be an underdog for the first time this season going into Sunday’s game in Columbus.
The total opened at 139½.
Indiana has split its games evenly between the over and under, posting a 9-9-1 record. Ohio State meanwhile has favored the under, compiling a 7-11-1 record.
The Big Ten’s remaining ranked side, #18 Minnesota (17-6, 5-5 Bog Ten) will host Illinois (16-8, 3-7 Big Ten) on Sunday also. The Fighting Illini of course handed Indiana that shock loss on Thursday. They’ll look to do likewise against the Golden Gophers. Minnesota is favored in this one, with the spread opening at 9½. The total is 138½.
Elsewhere in college basketball on Sunday, #2 Duke (20-2, 7-2 ACC) will also look to take advantage of Michigan’s loss on Saturday. In all likelihood, a win over Boston College (10-12, 2-7 ACC) will be enough to regain the top-spot in the AP polls on Monday. The Blue Devils are favorites, with the spread at 11½. The total stands at 143½.
#7 Arizona (20-2, 8-2 Pac-12) will have one eye on ascending the polls this week. The Wildcats will need to fend-off California (13-9, 5-5 Pac-12) first. Arizona is favored over the Golden Bears, with the spread opening at 13½.
Finally, #9 Syracuse (19-3, 7-2 Big East) will look to build on Monday’s win over Notre Dame and regain a share of the top spot in the Big East. The Orange will need to defeat St. John’s (15-8, 7-4 Big East) to do just that. Syracuse is a 16-point favorite at home, with the total at 134.
Saturday’s AP Top 25 Results
Mississippi State 58, #2 Florida 83
#3 Michigan 62, Wisconsin 65 (OT)
#5 Kansas 66, Oklahoma 72
Loyola Marymount 55, #6 Gonzaga 74
North Carolina 61, #8 Miami (FL) 87
#11 Louisville 101, #25 Notre Dame 104 (5OT)
#12 Michigan State 78, Purdue 65
Iowa State 70, #13 Kansas State 79
#14 Butler 59, George Washington 56
#15 New Mexico 55, UNLV 64
Illinois State75, #16 Creighton 72
#23 Pittsburgh 62, #17 Cincinnati 52
Utah 64, #19 Oregon 73
#20 Georgetown 69, Rutgers 63
Ole Miss 79, #21 Missouri 98
#22 Oklahoma State 72, Texas 59
DePaul 78, #24 Marquette 89
Sunday’s AP Top 25 Schedule
#1 Indiana @ #10 Ohio State
#4 Duke @ Boston College
California @ #7 Arizona
St. John’s @ #9 Syracuse
Illinois @ #18 Minnesota