Odds for 20 NFL Teams to Make the 2015-16 Playoffs


The NFL season will not start for another four plus months, but that does not stop bookmakers from releasing odds for futures betting.

One sportsbook in Las Vegas and others offshore have opened the wagering for the playoff prospects of 20 NFL teams during the upcoming 2015-16 season.

Indianapolis and Seattle are the two teams with the shortest odds to make the NFL postseason, with their Yes side at -350. Those two teams are followed by defending NFL Champions the New England Patriots at -320 to enter the playoffs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are -130 to reach the postseason this NFL season after not making the playoffs this past season when the team lost three of its final four games and finished just 10-6.

New Orleans also did not reach the playoffs last season, but are at even money to reach the postseason this season.

Four teams from last year that made the playoffs – Carolina, Cincinnati, Detroit and Arizona are underdogs the return the postseason. Of the four, the one with the longest odds is Arizona at +155.

These odds reflect trades that took place during the signing of free agents. However, the NFL Draft is Thursday and that could help change this board, as teams look for the best group of draftees they can acquire.

The New England Patriots were listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl next season after winning the Vince Lombardi trophy this season. This season Seattle is also expected to be strong in the NFC, battling with the Packers, Cowboys and Eagles for a spot in the postseason.

New England in this poll is No. 2 to reach the playoffs, with Indianapolis at the top.

2015-16 NFL Playoff Prop

Colts: Yes -350, No +275
Seahawks: Yes -350, No +275
Patriots: Yes -320, No +250
Packers: Yes -280, No +230
Broncos: Yes -230, No +185
Cowboys: Yes -140, No +110
Eagles: -130, No +100
Ravens: Yes -120, No -110
Steelers: Yes -115, No -115
Saints: Yes +100, No -130
Panthers: Yes +120, No -150
Bengals: Yes +120, No -150
Texans: Yes +120, No -150
Lions: Yes +130, No -170
Chiefs: Yes +135, No -165
Bills: Yes +140, No -170
Chargers: Yes +145, No -175
Cardinals: Yes +155, No -185
Dolphins: Yes +155, No -185
49ers Yes +175, No -210


Big Winner in NFL Free Agency is the NFL


NFL free agency continues, but the biggest names on the board have signed with new teams or re-signed with their team from last season. Many question who the real winner of this year’s free agency was and the easy answer to that is the league.

The NFL is the obsession of most sports fan in the U.S. If anyone doubted that, all they had to do was watch what took place last week when the NFL free agency started and huge rumors turned into revamping entire rosters.

The buzz that hit the NFL was louder than any heavy metal rock concert, thanks to the frenzy around free agency and a few trades that included high profile players that easily drowned out the rest of sports in the U.S.

The reports and updates on television, radio and the Internet were waited for, watched and listened to as if the lives of sports fans depended on them.

The offseason of the NFL trumped the NBA and NHL regular season battles for playoff spots. It made the preseason in MLB non-existent and was a March Madness of a completely different kind.

Ndamukong Suh signed the richest contract for a defensive player in NFL history, Darrelle Revis return to the Jets after playing for rivals New England, DeMarco Murray became an Eagle and joined a host of new players that could make Philadelphia the team to beat in the NFC or not.

However, it was the NFL that was the true winner of the frenzy. From the roster moves to the interest each one generated the conversation shifted from Deflatgate and Adrian Peterson to roster changes and anticipation for the upcoming 2015 season.

Even odds makers were caught off guard. On Monday, a new set of futures were released for Super Bowl 50 with very few changes even though a number of moves had been confirmed by teams, but not made official by the league.

However, odds makers had to scramble to adjust the futures as transaction after transaction took place on Tuesday and Wednesday. When the dust settled late Wednesday, the Super Bowl 50 futures had a number of changes on the board with teams moving both up and down.

This offseason could not have come at a better time for league officials. It shifted the discussion from the amount of air pressure in balls and player punishment to players moving and fans going wild.

The NFL Players Association announced that between Tuesday and Friday, 85 player contracts had been filed worth over $1.3 billion, with the guaranteed amount over $589 million.

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McCoy Trade Has Little Affect on 2015 Super Bowl Futures


It looks as if sportsbooks have shrugged off the trade of LeSean McCoy by the Philadelphia Eagles as there were only minor adjustments made this week to the latest odds for the Super Bowl 50.

When it was reported that the Eagles would trade McCoy for Buffalo Bills linebacker Kiko Alonso it was a shock to a number of observers of the NFL. They questioned how the Eagles, who are close to contending for the Super Bowl, let one of their top players go.

However, bookmakers viewed it different and nearly did not even bat an eye after its announcement. In fact, a number of offshore sites and sites in Vegas did little of anything to adjust the odds this week.

One site shortened Buffalo’s odds to 25 to 1 from 30 to 1 but kept Philadelphia at its 22 to 1 from last week. Another futures board lengthened the odds for the Eagles while leaving everything else the same.

The trade leaves Philly with Darren Sproles, Kenjon Barner and Chris Polk to run the ball. Apparently, Chip Kelly the Eagles head coach and McCoy’s relationship has deteriorated and last season when the same happened with DeSean Jackson the All Pro wideout, either you jump on Kelly’s bandwagon or you are moved.

Kelly in the process picked up another former Oregon Duck player in linebacker Alonso and he now has 9 on his roster in Philly.

With the trade of McCoy and releasing Cary Williams a cornerback and Trent Cole a defensive end, the Eagles will have $48 million available under the salary cap for 2015.

As great as McCoy has played, it will not be too hard for the Eagles to find someone suitable to replace him through free agency or the draft.

For Buffalo, Rex Ryan the new head coach has inherited a defensive unit ready to become great and now a back like McCoy will boost the team’s chances to compete with New England in the AFC East. It has been reported that the Bills have also acquired Matt Cassel at quarterback in a trade with Minnesota.

Fans of the Bill should be very excited about the 2015 season, while Philly fans should have the confidence that Kelly has his plan and will make it work. His system is able to put up numbers regardless of the name of the person who runs the ball.




What Team Will be the Next Long Shot to Win the Super Bowl


Super Bowl 50 is next up for NFL teams following the New England Patriots thrilling win over the Seattle Seahawks. The win by New England was the latest milestone over a remarkable run of 14 seasons.

Since 2001, New England has won the AFC East title 12 times, reached the AFC Championship 9 times, made six appearances in the Super Bowl and won four Vince Lombardi trophies.

At one time however, the Pats were big underdogs. In fact, New England was the last real long shots to win the Super Bowl, a team that came from nowhere to claim a Super Bowl ring.

In 2001, New England won its first Super Bowl over St. Louis. The Rams were heavily favored to win Super Bowl 36. The Patriots that year however were the last NFL champions to have ended their previous season with a record below .500.

The past 12 Super champions, according to Bovada and betonline, including this year’s Pats, all had records of 8-8 or better the year preceding their NFL title. Overall, those same winners of the Super Bowl averaged 11 wins the previous year.

Of the past 25 winners of the Super Bowl, only the 2001 Patriots and the 1999 Rams had losing records in the season prior to their Super Bowl victories.

The Patriots paid out big in 2001 as they entered the season as 50 to 1 long shots to win the title that year.

Not since then has a Super Bowl long shot lifted the Vince Lombardi trophy.

Of the past 25 winners of the Super Bowl, 18 won 10 or more game the season prior to winning the NFL title. According to topbet and sportsbook.com, this just completed season had 12 teams that won 10 games or more including the two entrants in the Super Bowl.

Of those 12 teams, the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens are the long shots on the Super Bowl 50 futures board with 30 to 1 odds. Others include Cincinnati at 25 to 1, Detroit at 22 to 1, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh at 20 to 1.

With those odds, Baltimore has the most appeal; they pushed the Patriots to their limit during the divisional playoffs and did that with significant injuries.

However, while a win in the Super Bowl by Baltimore would be a long shot, it would not be a stunning surprise. The Ravens have been perennial contenders and Super Bowl champions.

The biggest sleepers would be the Houston Texans at 50 to 1 and the Buffalo Bills at 60 to 1. Both finished over .500 at 9-7 last season, both have strong defenses and a positive point differential.


Odds to Win Super Bowl 50

SB 50
SB 50

Super Bowl 50 Odds are out and there are few surprises among the favorites.

You’ll notice immediately I used the term ’50′ instead f the Roman numeral ‘L.’ This is because the National Football League recognized the potential issues by having their marquee game represented with a big ‘L.’ This often stands for “loser” or well…. You get the picture.

Anyway with the season officially over, here are your odds for next season already.

Odds to win the 2016 Super Bowl  

Seattle Seahawks                            5/1 – Can they overcome perhaps the toughest loss in Super Bowl history?

New England Patriots                   7/1 – As usual, this team will look different in several areas as they attempt to repeat.

Green Bay Packers                         8/1 – Another team struggling to get past a horrible loss. At least it wasn’t in the Super Bowl.

Denver Broncos                             10/1 – Keep an eye on this, if Manning doesn’t return, the odds will drop considerably.

Dallas Cowboys                             14/1 – Can they repeat the success of this past year and what about Dez Bryant’s contract?

Indianapolis Colts                         14/1 – Must solidify the running game and the running defense to build around Andrew Luck.

Philadelphia Eagles                      20/1 – Late season swoon should be forgotten as Nick Foles returns under center.


Colin Kaepernick must avoid these situations in 2015 and under a new coaching staff how easy will it be?

San Francisco 49ers                      20/1 – With Harbaugh gone, can Jim Tomsula get Colin Kaepernick back on track and can the defense get younger?

New Orleans Saints                       22/1 – Rob Ryan returns despite a brutal defense in 2014 but the offense needs some work too behind an aging Drew Brees.

Pittsburgh Steelers                         25/1 – Offense was prolific, but defense needs serious upgrades. Ben Roethlisberger contract situation a top priority too.

Arizona Cardinals                          33/1 – Imagine what this team could do with consistent QB play? Larry Fitzgerald contract also an issue.

Baltimore Ravens                           33/1 – Ravens blew 14-point lead to eventual champion Pats; pieces are there but depth needed.

Detroit Lions                                   33/1 – Big step for the entire organization in 2014, but Matthew Stafford must play better on a consistent basis.

Atlanta Falcons                             40/1 – Team has addressed defensive liabilities by bringing in Dan Quinn; now the talent must get better.

Carolina Panthers                         40/1 – Under .500 division title likely saved Ron Rivera’s job but team must improve in 2015.

Chicago Bears                                 40/1 – John Fox will bring in some stability but can he do anything to make Jay Cutler better?

Cincinnati Bengals                        40/1 – Andy Dalton is now in a must-win situation. Getting to the playoffs is nice, but 0-4 is unacceptable.

Houston Texans                              40/1 – Who is the QB entering the season and can J.J. Watt get some help on the defensive end?

Kansas City Chiefs                          40/1 – Chiefs must get more out of wide receivers and keeping Justin Houston on D a priority.

Miami Dolphins                              40/1 – Somewhat surprisingly, Joe Philbin is back but he’ll need to find more consistency from his entire team.

Minnesota Vikings                         40/1 – There’s a lot to like in Minnesota but still many pieces to be put in place by Mike Zimmer.

New York Giants                             40/1 – I’m a little surprised to see Tom Coughlin back and his fate will rest on Eli Manning’s shoulders.

San Diego Chargers                        40/1 – When is the last time Philip Rivers won a huge game? Chargers’ fans would like to know.

St. Louis Rams                                 40/1 – If this team gets consistently good QB play are they a team to watch in 2015?

Buffalo Bills                                      66/1 – Kind of an odd hire in Rex Ryan. Defense wasn’t the problem in Western New York.

Cleveland Browns                          66/1 – One QB (Hoyer) is a free agent and wasn’t great. The other QB (Manziel) is now in rehab.

New York Jets                                   100/1 – Will Todd Bowles stick with Geno Smith or does he have another agenda?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers                  100/1 – Mariota or Winston? There are risks and rewards for each.

Tennessee Titans                             100/1 – If they decide to go QB, they’ll likely be stuck with whoever is left over after Tampa selects.

Washington Redskins                    100/1 – My gut tells me Jay Gruden would love to move on from RGIII but he won’t. Can he stay healthy is the question.

Jacksonville Jaguars                       200/1 – Don’t be a bit surprised if this team is greatly improved. Skill players needed but there is a decent nucleus.

Oakland Raiders                               200/1 – I’m not overly impressed with the Jack Del Rio hire. Someone to groom Derek Carr would have been better.


Bookmakers Win on Super Bowl Sunday Thanks to Props


The New England Patriots victory over the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX hurt bookmakers. There were many ways the Super Bowl could have ended. However, the combination of New England winning and the OVER was not the one bookmakers were hoping for.

The line over the two weeks between the conference championships and the Super Bowl kickoff fluctuated between Patriots -1 and pick ‘em. However, the comeback victory of 28-24 by New England complicated things for bookmakers at Bovada, betonline, topbet, sportbook.com as well as many other betting establishments.

For many of the books, the majority of cash was on New England and on the OVER. With more money coming in on New England, the books kept the line at -1 or even pick ‘em right up to kickoff.

Seattle had a 10-point lead entering the fourth quarter. For books that looked nice – a Seattle cover and an UNDER. However, that did not happen and when the Seahawks had the opportunity to win, the Patriots intercepted on the goal line on a play that most called questionable that was called by Pete Carroll the Seattle head coach.

Carroll is liked and respected by many of the players on Seattle, but looking at quotes from some players, especially from the defense, it would make you think the Seahawks could implode next season.

Fading losers of Super Bowls the next season is usually a strong bet.

New England in late September was 12 to 1 to win the Super Bowl after losing to Kansas City and dropping to 2-2.

Seattle lost Sunday’s Super Bowl but is 13 t 2 to win next season’s, with New England at 8 to 1 just behind them.

The overall handle missed the record set last year of $119 million as it came in at just under the $116 million mark in Vegas.

One bookmaker took a million dollar bet on New England. The props saved the books from going in the red as they eked out just a $3.3 million win on the game due to the popularity of the props.

The books win of $3.3 million was their lowest since 2011 for a Super Bowl when they took in just $724,175 in the Packers win over the Steelers 31-25.

However, overall the $115.9 million taken in by the Vegas books show that betting on the NFL is as good as it has ever been.

Once the draft is held the books futures will change somewhat, but not as much as when say the NBA holds its draft. Then any trades or offseason free agent signings will have their affect on the futures board. Nevertheless, when next season rolls around in September you can be assured that Seattle and New England will be at or near the top of the futures board for Super Bowl 50.


Why New England Will Win Super Bowl XLIX


The New England Patriots will play against the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX today in Arizona.

This is the sixth Super Bowl for New England in the past 14 year, which is the most in league history over a span f 15 or fewer years.

New England’s 12 wins during the regular season was the fifth consecutive season of 12 or more wins. The Pats claimed the AFC East division for the eleventh time in 12 seasons.

The offense for New England was No. 4 in scoring at 29.3 points per game. New England played 7 of the league’s top 10 passing defenses with impressive numbers.

Seattle is ranked No. 1 in pass defense. However, of late the Seahawks have played quarterbacks such as Colin Kaepernick, Drew Stanton, Mark Sanchez, Shaun Hill and Ryan Lindley not your lineup of All-Pros at quarterback.

Brady had plenty of time in the pocket this season with the fourth fewest sacks at 26. Seattle’s quarterback Russell Wilson by contrast was sacked 42 times.

Seattle has a strong defensive secondary, but the group is banged up. Earl Thomas one of the safeties, dislocated a shoulder against Green Bay in the NFC Championship and will not be 100%.

This season the Pats won six of its seven games versus playoff teams, with the only loss in Week 13 at Green Bay 26-21.

The Green Bay loss was the only one New England suffered against NFC opponents.

In its six wins against playoff teams, the Patriots scored 34 points or more in each game, including 42 points or more against three AFC teams Denver, Cincinnati and Indianapolis (twice).

Seattle has not played well during this postseason. Carolina was able to out gain them and the game was much closer than the final score. In Seattle’s win against Green Bay, it was more about what Green Bay did wrong to give away the NFC Championship. The Packers controlled the game from start to finish, but failed miserably on several occasions to put the game out of reach of Seattle.

Seattle cannot afford to start slow or turn the ball over against the potent offense of New England. Seattle will likely not score 16 points from special teams and its defense as it did in last season’s Super Bowl rout of Denver.

New England is 20-4 ATS in games with point spreads between -3 and +3.

The last time the teams met head to head Seattle won 24-23, but New England held Marshawn Lynch to just 41 rushing yards. In five games against New England in his career, including while at Buffalo, Lynch is averaging just 53 yards per game.

The defense for Seattle has a hard time with tight ends. Can you say Rob Gronkowski?

Take New England 27-24.