On Saturday, the Clemson Tigers will host the Florida State Seminoles in what is arguably the biggest game to be played in the ACC that was not played on a basketball court.
The betting line since the lines were first released during the summer and seen on sites like Bovada, sportsbook.com and betonline, has dramatically changed. Last summer the opening line on topbet had Clemson as a 2-point favorite. Money actually was taken on Clemson moving the line to 3 points, before it pulled back to 2.5.
However, this week, the line opened and FSU was a favorite on the road by 3 points. That came despite the fact Florida State has had a huge inability to win at Death Valley dating back to 2001.
The majority of early action on the line is on FSU, according to people at Bovada.
Late Thursday the line was still on -3 for Florida State, with the total on 64.5.
Coaches, players and odds makers are impressed with how well redshirt freshman quarterback Jameis Winston has played for FSU.
They speak of his composure in the pocket, his accuracy and power. Some have gone as far as saying he will be a better quarterback in the NFL than Johnny Manziel and Teddy Bridgewater.
Thus far, in the season, Winston has completed over 73% of his passes, thrown for 1,441 yards, 17 touchdowns and only two interceptions. His rating is 213.9, which is second in the nation.
However, on the other side of the field is Tajh Boyd the Clemson senior quarterback. Boyd has 20 touchdowns and just two interceptions.
This will be Winston’s biggest test of his freshman season. He will face between 80,000 and 82,000 fans of which 98% or more will be against him. Playing in Death Valley in front of that many hostile fans is not easy.
This matchup not only will make the Heisman race clearer, but it will determine the Atlantic Division winner in the ACC. The winner will also keep its hopes alive for a bid in the BCS Championship.
Florida State enjoyed a week off after cruising past Maryland 63-0. Clemson needed a late rally to get past a stubborn Boston College 24-14 last Saturday.
Clemson is 8-2 ATS in its past 10 games head to head with FSU. Clemson was an underdog on the road last season by 14.5 points but covered in their 49-37 loss to the Seminoles.
Pick: The trends are stacked too much in Clemson’s favor. I like the Tigers and the UNDER.