Today the Dallas Cowboys take on the upstart St. Louis Rams at home in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys are awful against the spread when playing at home.
Both the Cowboys and Rams lost tough games on the road last week. The Cowboys are 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS this season, but lost to the upstart Kansas City Chiefs last week 17-16. The Rams are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS and lost to Atlanta last week.
The Cowboys are laying 4 points in this matchup on Bovada and other online sportsbooks such as topbet, betonline and sportsbook.com. Dallas is 12-21 ATS at home since Cowboys stadium was built four seasons ago.
The line opened with Dallas favored by 3.5 on most books such as betonline, but has gone up to 4 points where it has stayed. The over under total points has ranged on sites, such as sporstbook.com and topbet, between 47 and 47.5.
The last time the two clubs met was in 2011 and DeMarco Murray had 253 yards rushing against the Rams to break the single-game Cowboys rushing record.
However, the Rams defense this year is much better than two seasons ago and is currently ranked sixth in the league in yards allowed on the ground.
St. Louis has done well against the spread. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their past seven games on the road. However, Dallas has been dreadful at home against the spread and is a woeful 2-10 ATS over their past 12.
Sam Bradford has matured at quarterback for the Rams in his fourth campaign running the offense. After two games, Bradford has 651 yards passing, 5 touchdown passes and just 2 interceptions.
The Rams have Chris Givens as their deep threat and Jared Cook a strong tight end makes for a good target over the middle.
The Rams defensive secondary leaves something to be desired as they have given up huge chucks of yards in their first two games versus Arizona and Atlanta. However, Robert Quinn their defensive end has 4 sacks after two games.
The Cowboys running attack has been practically nothing thus far. Murray had only 25 yards on the ground against KC last week. Dallas did not have a rushing attempt in the last quarter against the Chiefs.
Quarterback Tony Romo has 91 passing attempts after just two games. Dez Bryant had a strong receiving game against Kansas City and should be able to have a strong game against a weak Rams’ secondary.
Dallas is a hard call this season. They have started out 2-0 ATS, but have not covered in 10 of their past 12 home games.
This game will be full of offense, with the OVER as a solid choice. If you must take a winner, I like the Rams and the 4 points.