The two lowest seeds remaining in the NCAA Tournament face off today when the No. 7 seeded Michigan State Spartans play the No. 4 seeded Louisville Cardinals for the East Region title and a trip to the Final Four to play against the winner of Duke and Gonzaga.
Michigan State is the lower seeded team, but is favored in this game by 2.5 points with the total points sitting on 128.5. One thing is certain, two of the best college basketball coaches will be on the sidelines at this game, with Rick Pitino leading Louisville and Tom Izzo leading the Spartans.
Michigan State is 26-11 SU and 21-16 ATS. The Spartans have been an underrated team but has proceeded to knock higher seeds out. The Spartans defeated No. 3 seed the Oklahoma Sooners in the Sweet 16 to reach this game. The Spartans now have been the favorite the past two games even though they have been the lower seed.
Louisville is 27-8 SU and 14-19-1 ATS. Six years ago, the Cardinals were a No. 1 seed and were upset by Michigan State, but three years ago, Louisville has its revenge when they defeated the Spartans who at the time were a No. 1 seed during the Sweet 16. Louisville is 2-0 SU and ATS in its last two appearances in the Elite Eight.
Under Izzo, the Spartans are 6-2 SU while 5-2-1 ATS over its past eight games in the Elite Eight.
This is the only region that has had the top three seeds eliminated. The Spartans defeated the No. 2 Sooners and Virginia the No. 2 seed. Louisville has not had to face any opponent higher that Northern Iowa at No. 5.
Louisville cashed as an underdog of 2.5 points in its 66-53 win over Northern Iowa in its round of 32 game, which improved the team to 8-3-1 ATS over its past 12 games as a dog, with six outright wins during that run.
Michigan State has won six straight as a favorite and 10 of its past 11 with an 8-3 mark ATS.
This game should be both physical and tough between two programs playing head to head the third time in the past seven NCAA tournaments. Each team has played well in the tournament, which is not surprising due to their top coaches, However Michigan State seems to be playing better and carry more overall momentum.
The game should be close throughout, with the spread never being more than single digits the entire game.
Pick: I look Louisville to cover and the UNDER to cash out.