Two of the best teams in the nation will take the court today, as the No. 1 overall seed the Florida Gators play the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Louisville Cardinals tangle with the Saint Louis Billikens
The No. 9 seeded Pitt Panthers are 26-9 SU and 13-15-4 ATS. The Panthers took Colorado apart on Thursday by 29 points moving to 6-2 against the number over their last eight games.
Pitt scored 77 points and held Colorado to just 48, which kept the game UNDER on a point total of 126. However, it was just the third time over the last 10 games that Pitt has finished UNDER. Pitts this season had 19 of 32 games finish OVER.
Florida started sluggish in their first game against Albany. Nevertheless, the Gators won by 12 and did not cover the favorite spread of 21.5 points.
The Gators are 33-2 SU and 15-13-2 ATS. Florida has not lost since December 2. The UNDER has been quite profitable with Florida at 20-10-1, but the game on Thursday, versus Albany finished OVER by one point.
The current line on Bovada, topbet and betonline has Florida by 6 points. I like the Gators in this matchup, with the OVER paying out as well.
In another big game on Saturday, the No. 4 seeded Louisville Cardinals meet the No. 5 seeded Saint Louis Billikens. The current line on sportsbook.com and Bovada has Louisville favored by 9 points with the over/under total sitting on 133.5.
The season for Saint Louis appeared done when it trailed North Carolina State by double digits with under five minutes left in regulation. However, the Billikens turned up the defensive pressure and found their offense late to take an overtime win 83-80 over the Wolfpack.
Over its past 10 games played, Saint Louis is a disappointing 1-8-1 against the spread. Most of the time, they were laying points in those matchups but not today.
The UNDER has chased for Saint Louis in 19 of its 30 games this season, nevertheless, three of the past four have gone to the OVER.
Louisville has won 30 games this season and lost just 5, while against the spread the Cardinals are 19-14. They had their hands full in their opening game against Manhattan but pulled it out late 71-64.
The Cardinals are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS over their past 6 games played. The Cardinals have one of the nation’s best offense, but surprisingly the UNDER has cashed in 5 of the past 7 games Louisville has played.
Saint Louis has had its problems of late, but really are not 9 points inferior to Louisville. However, the Cardinals are a very popular team with the public, which always makes the price go up.
The bookmaker must offset large amounts of expected risk on Louisville by offering their opponent at a number that is higher.
Both teams Louisville 61.1 and Saints Louis 62.4 give up few points. The point spread might be a tough call with a 9-point spread, but the UNDER looks good today.