Harvick Favored at Duck Commander 500 in Texas

The NASCAR Sprint Cup season continues this week with the Duck Commander 500 on Saturday night. Even though three of the past five races held at Texas Motor Speedway have been won by Jimmie Johnson, it is Kevin Harvick who is the favorite at 4 to 1 and he has never won a race at Texas.

That is what takes place when you dominate a pair of races that have been held on similar tracks this season. In both Las Vegas and Atlanta, Harvick was the leader in laps led and ended with a 1.5 average finish, which included his first career win in the Sprint Cup at Vegas.

Below are the odds for the top five favorites this weekend and why.

Kevin Harvick 4 to 1: Harvick is clearly better than the entire field on this type of track and this low price proves it. Knowing he will have a fast practice, he will qualify close to the front and likely be the lap leader as well. In his last 24 starts in Texas, he has a 13.1 average finish and finished last fall in second, which was his career high at the track.

Jimmie Johnson 6 to 1: Johnson has four career victories here and an average finish of 9.1 in his 23 starts. He will definitely give Harvick a run for his money. He beat Harvick in Atlanta and in Las Vegas led 45 laps prior to a disappointing finish in 41st.

Kurt Busch 6 to 1: Busch won here in 2009 when driving for Penske Racing. He did not race this season in Atlanta or in Las Vegas but his dominance at Fontana, the entire weekend gave a good indication that on down force circuits he is the closest of any driver to Harvick.

Jeff Gordon 10 to 1: He has raced in all of the 28 starts the Cup has had in Texas, making him the only driver to do so. However, he has just one win here along with three second-place finishes. His last race here ended with him chasing down Brad Keselowski on foot in a melee following the race. Gordon’s top finish this season on down force tracks was at Fontana where he was 10th.

Brad Keselowski 10 to 1: His move late in the race last fall was what caused Gordon to puncture his tire and end in 20th. However, it is those kinds of moves that make the driver attractive when it comes to wagering.

He goes all out to win and has similar determination three weeks ago in Fontana when the one lap he was the leader was the last one. Last fall he was third here and his best for his career is second in 2012, which helped him to be the Sprint Cup champion that season.