Kevin Harvick is on quite a roll and headed to his best track. Harvick has won the past three Sprint Cup NASCAR races held at Phoenix International Raceway and 4 of the last 5, which is a big reason he is currently at 3 to 1 to win the CampingWorld.com 500 on Sunday.
Another big contributing factor to Harvick being the overwhelming favorite is he is currently on a big run where he has finished either first or second in the opening three races of the Sprint Cup 2015 season.
Going back to the 2014 Sprint Cup season, Harvick was first or second in the final six races of the season.
When taking into consideration his current top form and his past history at this track, the 3 to 1 price is a steal. Brad Keselowski is next highest at 7 to 1 odds followed by Joey Logano, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson all at 8 to 1.
The six wins by Harvick at Phoenix are the most in the history of the track since 1988 when the first Cup race took place. Johnson has four wins here and is second to Harvick and has a 7.7 track best average finish.
However, his win drought at the speedway is his longest, with no wins over his last 10 starts. In his 23 career starts at Phoenix, Johnson has 14 finishes in the top-five.
Keselowski has yet to win at Phoenix in his career, but did win during last season on flat tracks that are similar at New Hampshire and Richmond. He was sixth or better in 5 of this last 6 starts at Phoenix.
Logano last year had his best finishes at Phoenix of his career with a 4th and 6th in two starts and in 2010 a 3rd place.
Earnhardt Jr. was victorious in consecutive seasons in 2003 and 2004 at Phoenix, when there was only one race per year at the track. He has finished in eighth or better over his last four starts at the track. He is the only driver near Harvick in this season’s first three races as far as consistency is concerned finishing in the top five in each of the three.
Jeff Gordon has seen one of his worst starts of his career this season. He has won twice in his 32 starts at Phoenix but finished fifth in one and second in another of the two races there last season.
No trends exist as of yet showing that Harvick could be upset, but with racing you never know. However, he sure looks like he is on cruise control to start the season.