Heat are 6-point road ‘dogs in First Elimination Game

The 2013-14 NBA season could come to an end tonight when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat. The Spurs lead the best of seven NBA Finals 3-1 and could close out the series with a win tonight in Game 5.

A win would give the Spurs their fifth NBA title as a franchise and their first since 2007.

Miami finds themselves up against history. No team in the NBA has come back from a deficit of 3-1 in the NBA finals to win.

Miami is a road dog of 6 points in Games 5. The point total opened at 195, but has been bet up to 196 on Bovada and sportsbook.com.

The series odds on betonline and topbet now have San Antonio at -2000 and Miami at +1000.

San Antonio took control of the best of seven series with two blowout wins on the road in Games 3 and 4 winning 111-92 and 107-86 respectively.

The Spurs have used excellent ball movement on offense that has been helped by the Miami defense not showing up to play in either of the past two games.

The OVER has cashed in 2 of the 4 games, with the Spurs averaging 106 points per game and Miami only 93.

The Spurs are 12-4 SU as well as ATS over their past 16 games after beginning the postseason 3-3 straight up and 0-6 against the number.

Miami over its past six games is 2-4 SU as well as ATS. The Heat started its postseason 11-2 straight up and 9-4 against the spread.

Miami will use the age-old adage one game at a time for Sunday’s game, hoping to win and force a home game on Tuesday in Game 6.

Miami looks like it is running on an empty tank and the extra day of rest could help the club.

LeBron James could and likely will face criticism if the Heat loses the series. However, he has scored 27 points per game and has been asked to put the team on his shoulders again as the other two in the Big Three Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade have lacked consistency.

Prior to losing Game 2 to Miami, the Spurs were 8-0 SU as well as ATS at home in the postseason.

Boris Diaw has been a key for San Antonio in this series. The move by Spurs coach Gregg Popovich to start Diaw in Game 3 has changed the entire series. Diaw is a great passer on the inside.

The Heat has never been a ‘dog by 6 points this entire season.

Miami is looking for answers to their best player rotation and changes in their starting lineup and substitutes are likely in Game 5.

This game could be slowed down by the Heat with physical play coming into play, as Miami will look to rattle the Spurs and upset them, as they have not been successful in playing them straight up.

I like the Spurs to win their fifth title tonight.

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