The Broncos and Patriots may be the highlight of the NFL schedule but there are two other games I really like on this weekend before Thanksgiving. Take a look at Indy and Arizona as well as Dallas visiting the Giants for more action.
Indianapolis (+2) at Arizona – Cardinals’ Head Coach Bruce Arians welcomes the Colts to Arizona. It was the Colts who Arians helped get to the playoffs last season while coach Chuck Pagano dealt with his leukimia treatment. Arians has the Cardinals at 6-4 and in the hunt for a playoff spot. The NFC West is Seattle’s to lose right now but that won’t happen. Arizona is currently tied with San Francisco for second in the division.
The Colts come to the desert with a 7-3 record and a strangle-hold on the AFC South. Their most recent game saw them come back from a second half deficit to defeat Tennessee. Indy has still not gotten anything out of Trent Richardson since trading for him back in September, but Donald Brown has done a great job running the ball.
For Arizona it’s about playing great defense and not turning the ball over on offense. The Colts are 4-1 straight up in their last five games against Arizona and will be looking to pad their AFC South lead. I like Arizona to make some big plays behind their defense and cover in this one.
Dallas (+3) at New York – Right now the NFC East is led by Philadelphia at 6-5. Behind them is Dallas at 5-5 and then the Giants at 4-6. If you had told me five or six weeks ago the Giants would still have a shot for the division title I’d have said you were crazy. That’s exactly where we find things today which makes today’s game in MetLife Stadium so crucial.
The Giants’ defense has made tremendous strides during their four-game winning streak. They have moved up to seventh in the league in stopping the run which means they’ll make the Cowboys one-dimensional early. If Dallas finds itself having to throw at will, that usually means a few mistakes from Tony Romo.
The Cowboys are 8-17 against the spread in their last 25 games at New York. The over/under of 46 has me thingking over because I can see both teams benefiting from some turnovers. With Dallas having issues in the secondary I like the Giants to cover.
Denver (-2.5) at New England – I don’t know the last time the Patriots were an underdog at home but it can’t have happened very often in the last ten years. New England finds itself in that situation tonight hosting 9-1 Denver and Peyton Manning. At 7-3, the Patriots have lost two games this year on the final play of the game despite having lesser talent than in previous years.
The Broncos come in after beating previously unbeaten Kansas City last week at home in Denver. They were able to keep Peyton Manning upright and clean as they completely diminished the Chiefs’ pass rush. Bill Belichick will find more creative ways to get Manning’s jersey dirty tonight because if he doesn’t it will be a long night for his defense.
The Broncos are 2-4 against the spread in their last six games against New England. Tom Brady owns the head-to-head record against Manning and I think you’ll see Brady put the ball in the hands of his backs and slot receivers. This game has all the hallmarks of a New England victory in my opinion. The over/under is 53 and I like the under. Expect both teams to play well defensively.