Thursday Night NCAA football starts week 9. Tonight the Kentucky Wildcats visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The SEC matchup will feature both teams looking to win their first SEC game of the season.
Both teams will be going after the first SEC wins with abandon. Both schools did not play last week and will be rested and ready when the opening kickoff takes place.
The current line has Mississippi State favored by 10.5 points with the over/under total sitting on 56. The opening line for betonline and topbet was with the Bulldogs favored by 10 points, but has moved up to 10.5 on those two sites as well as on Bovada and sportsbook.com.
Mississippi State is 4-0 SU and ATS over the past four head-to-head meetings with Kentucky. Only one has been played on Mississippi’s home field in Starkville and resulted in the Bulldogs winning 24-17 in 2010 as favorites by 6.5 points.
Mississippi State over its past eight games played on Thursday is 1-7 ATS.
Kentucky over its past six road games is 1-5 ATS, but this year is 1-0 ATS.
This year in the home games for Mississippi State, the OVER has cashed 3-1. The only UNDER was in their last home game versus Bowling Green 21-20, which had a point total of 52.
Kentucky is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS and has lost four straight, but they have played four opponents that were all ranked in the Top 20. They did have a good showing in early October on the road when they lost 35-28 against South Carolina. In that game, the Wildcats were 21.5-point underdogs.
Jalen Whitlow the starting quarterback for Kentucky was hurt in their loss to Alabama two weeks ago and has been listed all week as doubtful. Kentucky does not have a strong offense ranked No. 104 in scoring.
Mississippi State is 3-3 SU and ATS but is 0-2 in the SEC. The team also has quarterback issues as Tyler Russell their fifth year senior suffered a concussion in the season opener. He returned two games against versus LSU and has split reps since with Dak Prescott, who is the team’s leading rusher with 457 yards on the ground.
Prescott should see more time this week as the running defense for Kentucky is ranked No. 107 and he is the better runner of the two talented quarterbacks.
Kentucky is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games overall.
Pick: Mississippi State 28-13.