More Upsets in the AP Top 25

After celebrating the top spot in Monday's AP poll, Indiana came crashing down on Thursday at the hands of the Illinois Fighting Illini.

About two weeks ago, we pointed out that it had been a bad week to be AP ranked. What we meant was a bad year!

Thursday night saw three more ranked teams fall to non-ranked opposition, including top-ranked Indiana. That now makes seven upsets of ranked sides since the AP Top 25 was released on Monday, and we’ve not even reached Saturday’s crux of basketball action.

It also makes 18 ranked losses since Casino Review last reported on this trending phenomenon back on Jan. 27. Furthermore, that makes it 31 upsets in less than three weeks! Now do you believe us when we say it’s not great being AP ranked at the moment?

#1 Indiana 72, Illinois 74 (Thursday)

Having knocked-off top-ranked Michigan in last Saturday’s primetime showdown, Indiana (20-3, 8-2 Big Ten) returned to the top of the polls and looked like it might be set to stay there. The Hoosiers had won five straight and 11 of 12 before heading to Champaign, Ill.

Illinois (16-8, 3-7 Big Ten) on the other hand was trending downwards. The Fighting Illini had lost three straight and six of seven. John Groce’s side had won just two Big Ten games all year; an upset of Ohio State at home and a road win in Nebraska. Nobody expected Illinois to get anything out of this one, especially bookies who had Indiana as a 7½-point favorite on the road.

For much of the game it looked like the Illini wouldn’t get anything from the game, but a surge in the last four minutes, and a Tyler Griffey buzzer beater from an inbound with 0.9 seconds on the clock changed all of that.

Indiana is all but assured of losing the top spot in the AP poll this week, the fifth straight week a top-ranked side has fallen from its high perch.

#2 Florida 69, Arkansas 80 (Tuesday)

Second-ranked Florida (18-3, 8-1 SEC) would have been in the reckoning for the top spot had it not been for an embarrassing loss on Tuesday night.

Playing on the road in college basketball is a tough ask of any team, but few would have expected Florida to come out of Fayetteville with anything short of a win. Nobody expected the nine-point favorite Gators to lose in the manner they did.

Arkansas (14-8, 5-4 SEC) added a crowning moment on an otherwise indifferent season, handing Florida an 11-point lead. For much of the game it looked like it was going to be a much bigger margin.

Whilst the Gators may still be at the top of the SEC table, Billy Donovan and Co. will be looking over their shoulder at Ole Miss and a seemingly resurgent Kentucky. They’ll be looking up the rankings also. Fittingly, having snapped a 10-game winning streak, the Gators will host the Wildcats next Tuesday.

#5 Kansas 55, TCU 62 (Wednesday)

Kansas (19-3, 7-2 Big 12) earns double honors on the upset roll this week. Having fallen to Oklahoma State on Saturday – a loss that dropped the Jayhawks out of the #2 spot – the side also came up short against the Horned Frogs on Wednesday.

Favored by 19½ heading into the game, the Jayhawks scored just 13 points in the first half. The second half was marginally better, with the side scoring 42 points, but TCU (10-12, 1-8 Big 12) would ultimately pick-up the huge upset win, sending Kansas crashing to its second straight loss.

With a trip to Norman to take on the Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday, Kansas is looking at leaving the top 10 altogether this week.

Other Upsets

Thursday also saw #19 Oregon (18-5, 7-3 Pac-12) lose a close game to Colorado (15-7, 5-5 Pac-12). That’s three straight losses for the side from Eugene. A fourth loss on Saturday (at home to Utah) could well see the Ducks stumble out of the AP rankings completely.

#21 Missouri (16-6, 5-4 SEC) dropped a second game in three on Thursday, losing 70-68 to Texas A&M (14-8, 4-5 SEC). The Tigers now face the very real possibility that they’ll be on the outside looking in on Monday, particularly with a game against Ole Miss this Saturday.

We’ve added a list of all of the ranked sides that have been beaten by non-ranked opponents since Jan. 27 below.

Michigan, Duke: You Have Been Warned

#3 Michigan (21-2, 8-2 Big Ten) will be the favorite to take over the top spot in the rankings. The Wolverines held on to defeat #10 Ohio State on Tuesday. A win over Wisconsin (16-7, 7-3 Big Ten) on Saturday should cement that position. But John Beilein’s side will be on upset alert, particularly against a tough Badgers side that has defeated both Indiana and Minnesota this season.

#4 Duke (20-2, 7-2 ACC) is the other frontrunner for the #1 spot after a 98-85 revenge victory over NC State on Thursday night. The Blue Devils travel to Boston College (10-12, 2-7 ACC) on Sunday, with no plans of slipping up.

Were Michigan or Duke to slip up, #6 Gonzaga (22-2, 9-0 WCC) – winners of five straight and 13 of 14 – would look to make the jump upwards. The Zags entertain Loyola Marymount (8-15, 1-9 WCC) on Saturday.

Meanwhile, #7 Arizona (20-2, 8-2 Pac-12) will be lying in wait too. The Wildcats have won four straight, and six of seven, and will be looking to move on up. The side will look to fend-off California (13-9, 5-5 Pac-12) on Sunday.

With upsets well and truly in the air, make sure you take some time to contemplate just what you’re up against when you place your bets this weekend.

Casino Review will bring you betting tips relating to this weekend’s biggest games tomorrow.


Ranked Teams Losing to Unranked Teams (since Jan. 27)

Thursday, Feb 7

Illinois 74, #1 Indiana 72

Colorado 48, #19 Oregon 47

Texas A&M 70, #21 Missouri 68

Wednesday, Feb 6

TCU 62, #5 Kansas 55

Indiana State 76, #16 Creighton 57

Providence 54, #17 Cincinnati 50

Tuesday, Feb 5

Arkansas 80, #2 Florida 69

Saturday, Feb 2

Oklahoma State 85, #2 Kansas 80

Pittsburgh 65, #6 Syracuse 55

California 58, #10 Oregon 54

Northern Iowa 57, #15 Wichita State 52

Air Force 70, #22 San Diego State 67

Thursday, Jan 31

Saint Louis 75, #9 Butler 58

Wednesday, Jan 30

Stanford 76, #10 Oregon 52

LSU 73, #17 Missouri 70

Tuesday, Jan 29

Indiana State 68, #15 Wichita State 55

Kentucky 87, #16 Ole Miss 74

Virginia 58, #19 North Carolina State 55

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