Notre Dame will not cover against Purdue

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost last weekend against Michigan. However, Head Coach Brian Kelly has been known to get his former teams to bounce back following a loss.

Kelly is a combined 18-11 ATS, following a loss while at Central Michigan, Cincinnati and Notre Dame. This weekend the Irish (1-1 SU and 1-1 ATS) take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS).

Over their first two games played, Purdue has scored only two touchdowns on offense.

The Line opened at sites like Bovada, with the Irish as a 19.5-point favorite and has moved to 20.5 points. Notre Dame has not been favored by this many points over the Boilermakers since 1996. At that time, they were favored by 21 and were victorious 35-0.

The Fighting Irish are 5-0 SU in the past five head-to-head matchups with Purdue, but last season, won 20-17, thanks to a field goal in the last seconds of the game.

Last week’s loss against Michigan snapped the Irish’s winning streak at five games versus teams from the Big Ten.

Tommy Rees, who has replaced the suspended Everett Golson at quarterback for the Irish this season, did not please his coach early in their loss to Michigan.

However, he played well late and gave the Irish a chance to win. Over his first two games, he has five touchdown passes and two picks.

The Irish were let down versus Michigan by their fine defense. In the first 38 games Kelly was the coach of Notre Dame, the defense did not allow 40 or more points in any games. However, they have now given up that amount in two of their past three games played.

Purdue is a work in progress and Darrel Hazell in his first season with the Boilermakers knows better than anyone else, what needs to be fixed.

The offense is ranked No. 116 in the nation after two games. Rob Henry the team’s quarterback does not have a touchdown pass yet this season, but has thrown two interceptions.

Purdue has no deep threat so defenses are able to meet receivers at the line and throw them off their pattern early. On the ground against Indiana State, Purdue averaged 2.7 yards a carry.

On defense, Purdue will be without last season’s best tackler safety Landon Feichter, who broke his leg.

Against the Irish defense, things should get worse before they get better.

Purdue is winless against the Fighting Irish since 2007. However, Purdue has covered three out of the past four years. The offense for Purdue is very poor, but it was much the same a season ago when they only lost by three.

Prediction: Take Purdue and the nearly 20 points.

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