Odds Halved for Louisville to Repeat as National Champions

The NCAA Tournament starts Tuesday with the First Four. On Sunday night, a new list of futures odds for the NCAA Tournament championship were released. Skyrocketing up the board were the Louisville Cardinals.

The odds for the Cardinals were cut by more than half, which was more of a result of the brackets and regions than on any betting action driving the price down for the Cardinals.

Upon the brackets and regions being unveiled Sunday night, the odds for Louisville were set at 15 to 1 to be a repeat Champion.

By early on Monday, the squad under the tutelage of legendary coach Rick Pitino was moved to 7 to 1, where that currently sit on Bovada and topbet as the third pick with Arizona to repeat as champions.

Odds makers on betonline and sportsbook.com said the change in odds did not have anything to do with a large money bet.

Many of the odds being used were ones used during the course of the season, but once the odds are put into brackets then it is easier to see how teams matchup against one another. Louisville has played very well during the last two months of the regular season and the season ending conference tournament.

The top two shortest odds remain the Florida Gators at 9 to 2 and the Michigan State Spartans at 5 to 1. Both teams saw slight adjustments upward since the odds were opened on Sunday night.

Five Tips to Think About

  1. The Big 12 has the most teams in the Big Dance with seven, but the Big Ten is the toughest conference. Rating the conferences has the Big Ten at top followed by the Big 12, the Big East, Pac-12, ACC, the SEC and the AAC.
  2. Over the last 20 years, only on three occasions did a pair of teams hold the No. 1 and 2 spots in the polls for eight consecutive weeks during the regular season. All of those six teams reached the Final Four and produced the eventual national champion those three seasons. This season they happen to be Syracuse and Arizona.
  3. Only two schools are ranked in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Louisville the defending champions and Wichita State the only undefeated team in the nation. The seeding has Louisville very low at No. 4 and they could meet in the Sweet 16 against the Shockers.
  4. Of the past 16 national champions, 5 lost their conference season ending tournaments – Kentucky, North Carolina (twice), Syracuse and Maryland. Pay attention to Villanova.
  5. San Diego State a No. 4 seed is attempting to establish a new reputation for the Mountain West Conference. No team from the conference has reached the Elite Eight and teams from the MWC are 3-9 during the last two tournaments. Since the conference was formed 15 years ago it representatives in the Big Dance are a combined 17-38.

Top Five Odds for National Champion

Florida 9 to 2

Michigan State 5 to 1

Arizona 7 to 1

Louisville 7 to 1

Kansas 10 to 1

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