Preparing for the start of the 2013 NFL season, online sportsbooks like BetOnline have recently announced a number of prop bet odds for many different categories.
One popular prop bet is who will lead the NFL this season in rushing. The players who have the best odds to lead the list have either done so in previous years or odds makers believe their offensive lines or coaches play selections will give them the best opportunity to lead the league in rushing.
The man at the top of the list this season is Adrian Peterson. The Minnesota running back made a huge comeback last season and was so very close to rushing into the NFL record books after missing the prior season due to a knee injury.
Peterson became the first running back in the NFL since Chris Johnson to rush for more than 2,000 yards. Johnson accomplished that feat in 2009.
Peterson ended the season with 2,097 yards and was only 9 yards shy of the all time single season record of 2,106 set by Eric Dickerson in 1984.
Peterson is listed at +350 to repeat as the NFL rushing leader for this season. Minnesota loves running the ball, but Peterson has taken a beating for the seven seasons he has played in the NFL and it will be very hard to remain healthy two straight seasons, while averaging over 22 carries per game.
Next up and Peterson’s biggest contender for the rushing title per BetOnline is Marshawn Lynch from the Seattle Seahawks. Lynch has been listed at +650 to win the rushing title.
The Seattle back rushed last season for 1,590 yards, which for last year put him third in the league in rushing.
In 2011, Lynch accumulated 1,204 yards on the ground, which was his first complete season in Seattle.
There is good value in the +650 odds especially if Seattle can give the ball to Lynch over 300 times during the season as they did last year.
However, Seattle drafted Texas A&M back Christine Michael, which might end up costing Lynch some valuable yardage in games and overall numbers of carries over the course of the season.
In 2010, Arian Foster became a household name as Houston’s running back when he led the league with 1,616 yards. In 2011 he had 1,224 and in 2012 increased that to 1,424.
However, each year his yards per carry have fallen since 2010. Nevertheless, he will be the mainstay in the Texans rushing offense and could contend for the rushing title since he led the league in carries in 2012 with 351.
One runner to kept an eye on and consider taking is Alfred Morris who as a rookie in 2012 ran for 1,613 for the Washington Redskins even while sharing the backfield with Robert Griffin III the team’s versatile quarterback.
Since RG III is still recovering from knee surgery from last season’s playoffs, Morris could see more carries to start the season. His +1000 at Bovada has good value for the rushing title.
A longest shot to win the rushing title this season in the NFL and the best value for long odds has to be veteran Steven Jackson sitting at +1200.
He spent nine seasons to start his career with St. Louis and found new life with Atlanta, a legitimate contender for the Super Bowl.
This season he will be Atlanta’s featured back since Michael Turner and the Falcons have parted ways.