Opening Point Spreads in AFC and NFC Title Games are Similar

Both conference championships in the NFL feature point spreads of about a touchdown. The New England Patriots on Sunday night opened as a favorite by between 7 and 7.5 points over the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC title next Sunday.

Earlier Sunday, the Seattle Seahawks opened at -7 for their NFC title game against the Green Bay Packers next Sunday.

The opening line in the AFC title game on Bovada and topbet was similar at Patriots -7, minutes after the Colts have upset Denver.

The point total for the Colts vs. Patriots title game opened at 54 on both betonline and sportsbook.com.

On the different money lines, New England is the favorite at -300 and the Colts are the underdog at +250.

On Saturday, the Patriots struggled in their 35-31 win over the Baltimore Ravens. The Pats did not cash as the favorite by 7 points.
New England is now 3-11 against the number in its past 14 postseason games.

While New England has been asked to cover yet another large number in a huge game, the task is against an Indianapolis team they defeated last November by a score of 42-20 as a road dog of 3 points.

The move in the line from the Patriots +3 away from home to -7 playing at home represents a large adjustment since the Week 11 head-to-head game.

The two teams met as well last year during the playoffs with an identical point spread. New England easily defeated the Colts in that game 43-22.

Thus far, in his career Andrew Luck has lost each of his three head-to-head games against Tom Brady and New England. Each of the three has been a blowout. In his rookie season, Luck lost to New England by the score of 59-24.

While Seattle opened at -7 over the Packers the line was quickly bet up on Sunday night to -7.5.

The point total was posted at 46.5 and has been seen at 47 as well.

The money line has Seattle favored at -280 with Green Bay available at +240.

Seattle covered its 13-point spread in their 31-17 win over the Carolina Panthers. It was the seventh consecutive win as well as cover for Seattle.

Green Bay did not cover as the favorite by 5.5 points in its 26-21 win over Dallas.

Green Bay is also 0-3 SU and ATS as a road dog this past season.
One of the three losses came in Week 1 at Seattle 36-16. In that game, Seattle was only a favorite by 4.5 points and the point total was at 47.

As the weekend approaches, the lines will move, with the majority of the betting not until Friday and the weekend prior to kickoff.

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