In what should be an exciting, high scoring and entertaining AFC divisional playoff game, the Indianapolis Colts visit the New England Patriots on Saturday night January 11, at 8:15 pm. ET.
The Colts are 12-5 SU and 11-6 ATS and look to post a second straight upset in the postseason over the 12-4 SU and 8-8 ATS New England Patriots.
That Indianapolis made it this far is an accomplishment in itself. They trailed Kansas City 38-10 during the third quarter last week. However, they accumulated 372 yards plus 35 points over the final 24-plus minutes to shock the Chiefs 45-44.
New England has far more experience in the postseason than Indy. The Patriots have been to the “elite eight” 10 times in Coach Bill Belichick’s 14 seasons and are vying for their eight AFC conference title.
New England has won two straight divisional playoff games. In 2011, they covered as a favorite of 14 points by defeating Denver 45-10 and last season rolled over Houston 28-13 while laying 8 points.
The big difference this season is the injuries, murder charges and free agency as the Patriots receiver corps has been decimated. Rob Gronkowski has been felled by yet another injury, Aaron Hernandez sits in a jail awaiting his murder trial and Wes Welker now catches passes from Peyton Manning in Denver.
Nevertheless, the Patriots this season at home have been unbeatable at 8-0 SU and are 6-2 ATS. However, against the other seven teams in the postseason field, the Pats are just 2-2 SU and ATS. The two victories were three point wins over both New Orleans and Denver at home.
Beware, New England is a horrible, bankrupt-making 2-9 ATS over its past 11 postseason games.
Both teams create puzzling questions for public bettors such as will the Colts keep the game close enough to cover the number or will the Patriots have enough in their tank to cover such a big number?
Currently the line has New England favored by a TD and extra point, with the point total at a low 52.5 considering the offensive numbers both teams can put on the board.
Bovada opened their line at -9 for New England, but that was quickly bet down on their site and others like betonline and sportsbook.com to -7.5 and has come down on other sites such as topbet to just -7.
The weather could play a slight role in the game, as it should be in the 50s, but there is a high probability of rain. Check on weather sites for updates and on your favorite wagering site prior to kickoff.
New England is just 2-9 ATS over its past 11 postseason games, but they are 5-1 SU over their past 6 games overall this season. I like the Patriots less the 7 points and with that, I will take the OVER as well in what should be an entertaining, high scoring game with New England scoring late on defense to cover the seven.