Patriots vs Ravens: Pats Poor Road Team Against the Spread

Just two weeks remain in the NFL regular season and a number of teams are either fighting for a division championship or a wildcard spot in the postseason.

Two of those teams meet today in Baltimore when the Baltimore Ravens host the New England Patriots in a rematch of the AFC Championship Game from last season that was won by the Ravens 28-13.

Baltimore, which is 8-6 SU and 7-7 ATS, has won four straight games. The Ravens control their own destiny in the battle for the AFC North. If Baltimore can win today versus New England and next week against Cincinnati, they will win the division.

New England, which is 10-4 SU and 6-8 ATS, needs to win today or have Miami lose one of their two remaining games to win the AFC East title. New England is also battling with Denver for the No. 1 seed for the conference. However, the Patriots, like the Ravens have yet to secure a playoff berth.

These two teams have met six times prior to this game over the past four seasons. Last season, the Ravens defeated the Patriots during the regular season and in the AFC Championship.

Currently Bovada has the line with Baltimore favored by 2 points, with the point total resting on 45. However, on topbet the line opened with Baltimore -1.5 and a total of 43. Check those two sites and others such as betonline and sportsbook.com prior to kickoff for the latest in point spreads, point totals and the all-important weather.

The Ravens have a record of 3-2-1 ATS versus New England in their last six meetings head to head. All three of Baltimore’s wins ATS versus New England, have come during the playoffs, while Baltimore is 0-2-1 ATS during the regular since 2009 against the Patriots.

New England on the other hand is only 1-6 ATS playing on the road this season, while the Ravens are 4-3 ATS playing at home.

In the 14 games Baltimore has played to date this season, just five have finished OVER.

New England is 0-3 ATS in their past three games overall.

New England’s Tom Brady knows the Baltimore defense well. He will take what they give him and at times go over the top to stretch the defensive secondary.

With numerous injuries to receivers and tight ends, Brady has two main targets in this game, wide outs Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman. Shane Vereen at running back has turned into a popular target for Brady out of the backfield.

Baltimore’s defensive front is tough, but their secondary has been suspect at times this season. However, they played well versus Detroit on Monday night holding Calvin Johnson the All-Pro wide receiver in check.

Baltimore’s offense is deep now that Dennis Pitta has returned as the tight end. Joe Flacco has Jacoby Jones and Torrey Smith at wide out and Pitta at tight end, which will create havoc for the secondary of New England.

Some odds makers believe the line is inflated in Baltimore’s favor and that New England should be favored at -1. Regardless, check Bovada and other reputable sites such as topbet, sportsbook.com and betonline for the latest lines prior to the 4:25 p.m. kickoff of this game.

Pick: New England 28-24

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