Player, Team Props for Today’s Semi-Final Action

Final 4

I've got some great prop bets for you to ponder as the Final Four tips off this evening.

Thanks to our friends at Bovada, I’m able to provide you with some prop bets I really like heading into today’s Final Four action.

Michigan State vs Duke

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Travis Trice (MSU)

Over                                      17½ (-140)

Under                                   17½ (EVEN)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Assists – Travis Trice (MSU)

Over                                      4 (-120)

Under                                   4 (-120)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total 3 Point Shots Made – Travis Trice (MSU)

Over                                      2½ (-180)

Under                                   2½ (+140)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Denzel Valentine (MSU)

Over                                      14½ (-150)

Under                                   14½ (+110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Rebounds – Branden Dawson (MSU)

Over                                      8½ (-130)

Under                                   8½ (-110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points & Rebounds – Matt Costello (MSU)

Over                                      9½ (-130)

Under                                   9½ (-110)

Spartans Analysis: I think the plays here revolve around Matt Costello and Brendon Dawson. Rebounding and second-chance points will be a critical factor in this game and the ability to neutralize Okafor and company on the boards will fall on these two. I like the OVER in both of their props. As for Trice and Valentine, I’m concerned about the quickness of the Blue Devils’ backcourt. I think the UNDER is a wise play on most of their props.

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Jahlil Okafor (Duke)

Over                                      17½ (-130)

Under                                   17½ (-110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Rebounds – Jahlil Okafor (Duke)

Over                                      7½ (-140)

Under                                   7½ (EVEN)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Blocks – Jahlil Okafor (Duke)

Over                                      1½ (-150)

Under                                   1½ (+110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Quinn Cook (Duke)

Over                                      14½ (-130)

Under                                   14½ (-110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Justise Winslow (Duke)

Over                                      13½ (-140)

Under                                   13½ (EVEN)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Rebounds – Justise Winslow (Duke)

Over                                      7½ (-130)

Under                                   7½ (-110)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Points – Tyus Jones (Duke)

Over                                      11½ (-140)

Under                                   11½ (EVEN)

Blue Devils Analysis: Tom Izzo is facing a difficult choice in terms of trying to take away Okafor or trying to limit the play of the guards. Big bodies are at a premium for Sparty and that’s why I like the OVER on Okafor’s props. The emergence of Winslow will continue for Duke as well so take the OVER on him as well.

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Team Points – Michigan State

Over                                      67 (-120)

Under                                   67 (-120)

(Michigan State @ Duke) – Total Team Points – Duke

Over                                      72 (-120)

Under                                   72 (-120)

Final Analysis: I like the Blue Devils and the OVER. I think the great play of Michigan State has run its’ course now and talent will take over for Duke. I like the OVER for MSU as well but only because they’ll be making some hoops in garbage time.

Kaminsky

Frank Kaminsky will have his work cut out for him among the tall trees of Kentucky.

Wisconsin vs Duke

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin)

Over                                      17½ (-130)

Under                                   17½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Rebounds – Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin)

Over                                      7½ (-130)

Under                                   7½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Sam Dekker (Wisconsin)

Over                                      15½ (-130)

Under                                   15½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Nigel Hayes (Wisconsin)

Over                                      11½ (-130)

Under                                   11½ (-110)

Badgers Analysis: It’s hard not to like Sam Dekker. He plays hard and with some attitude but how long can he stay hot? I’ll take the OVER on points for him but not by much. As for Kaminsky, rebounding will be huge with so many fellow big men to compete against. I like the UNDER on him across the board. I do like Hayes and the OVER because he will be forced to make some plays.

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Aaron Harrison (UK)

Over                                      11½ (-130)

Under                                   11½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Willie Cauley-Stein (UK)

Over                                      9½ (-130)

Under                                   9½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Rebounds – Willie Cauley-Stein (UK)

Over                                      7 (-130)

Under                                   7 (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Blocks – Willie Cauley-Stein (UK)

Over                                      2 (-110)

Under                                   2 (-130)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Karl-Anthony Towns (UK)

Over                                      12½ (-130)

Under                                   12½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Rebounds – Karl-Anthony Towns (UK)

Over                                      6½ (-130)

Under                                   6½ (-110)

(Wisconsin @ Kentucky) – Total Points – Trey Lyles (UK)

Over                                      9½ (-140)

Under                                   9½ (EVEN)

Wildcats Analysis: Towns will be the focal point after he proved he could score in the low post much better than Cauley-Stein could. That said, go with the UNDER on points for him and the OVER for Cauley-Stein who plays better than he did against Notre Dame. Aaron Harrison will have to hit some outside shots and I think that’s why the OVER is a smart play with him.

Wisconsin Total Points 63.5

OVER (-130)

UNDER (-110)

Kentucky Total Points 68.5

OVER (-130)

UNDER (-110)

Final Analysis:

I don’t see how this game is anything but a nail-biter. I like the Wildcats and the UNDER and the Badgers with the OVER in a game that is settled by a couple of points or less.

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