Super Bowl XLVIII is just four days away and both the line and point total has held steady since the point spread flipped on just the first day of betting following the conference championship games two Sunday’s ago.
Denver is currently favored in the game by 2.5 points and anyone remotely close to football and betting can tell you that. In comparison, the point total is not as well known as the point spread and is currently sitting at 47.5 on Bovada. Sites such as topbet and sportsbook.com have the spread at 47.
The first thing bettors look at is the point spread, while the point total is often an afterthought that in reality is a good way to wager in games that are too close to determine a winner with the spread.
The point total is a quite standard number. Including this year’s Super Bowl XLVIII, seven of the past 10 Super Bowls had over/under point totals of 45 to 48.
For some, a point total of 47, which betonline currently has for the Super Bowl, seems like a very low point total for a game involving the Denver Broncos. It should because it is.
Fifteen of Denver’s 18 games played this season have had point totals of 50 or more. A Denver game has not ended with less than 50 points scored since they played Kansas City on November 17.
Because of this, many would think the OVER would be an easy bet. However, do not jump too fast to conclusions. The last five games Denver has played cashed to the UNDER, including its two wins in the postseason.
Adding to the possibility of an UNDER is that only five of the 18 games Seattle has played this season have ended with 48 combined points or higher.
So, you ask yourself, take the UNDER?
There are reasons to consider it. The defense for Seattle is No. 1 in the league. Denver’s defense is no slouch. The weather could factor in with snow, wind and cold.
The latest forecast released by the national weather service has winds of less than 10-mph on Sunday and a slight chance of some form of precipitation.
The Super Bowl has been a tossup as far as point totals in the past. Of the 47 Super Bowls, 46 have had point totals for betting purposes. The first one did not. The point total cannot get any closer in the previous Super Bowls than it currently is with 23 OVER and 23 UNDER.
Over the past six Super Bowls played, the point total has alternated between the OVER and UNDER. However, four of the past five would have ended OVER the 47 total for the current Super Bowl.
In 10 of the last 13 Super Bowls, the teams combined for more second half points than first half points.
You might just consider the OVER for the second half.