Re-Visiting NFC Win Totals

Rodgers

The firepower of Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense should get them 'over' the top.

Earlier this week I re-visited win totals for the AFC and today I’m doing the same for the NFC. You’ll note a couple of significant changes. Let’s get to it.

NFC EAST

Dallas 8.5 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Over, Today: Under I really thought this could be the year that Dallas could put it together and make the playoffs but I’ve seen too many issues offensively in the preseason.

New York 9 (-115 over/-115 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under The Giants backfield is a mess with Andre Brown down with a broken leg for the next 4-6 weeks. I’m not sure there enough behind the front four defensively either.

Philadelphia 7.5 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under I think Michael Vick will have a bounce-back year but I worry about his health and the shots he’ll take in this offense. The defense is a major concern as well.

Washington 8.5 (+105 over/-135 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over I think the ‘Skins are the class of the division on both sides of the ball. RGIII will learn to play smarter and the defense is much improved from last year.

NFC NORTH

Chicago 8.5 (-120 over/-110 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under The Bears could have two rookies starting on the O-line and you can’t replace the leadership of Brian Urlacher. Cutler is in a contract year and is just too up and down for my liking.

Detroit 8 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Even, Today: Over The Lions suffered from some really bad luck last season and lost a lot of close games. The front four has to stay healthy for the defense to be effective. I’m drinking the kool-aid with Detroit.

Green Bay 10.5 (-115 over/-115 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over Green Bay has a stable of capable running backs now and JerMichael Finley has had an excellent preseason. The team will overcome any defensive short-comings with a big offense.

Minnesota 7.5 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Under, Today: Over The Vikings can go only as far as Christian Ponder can take them with all due respect to Adrian Peterson. The defense will be OK, but health will be huge on both sides of the ball. I’ll take them to get to eight wins.

Ryan

Ryan and the Falcons should reach double-digit win totals again this year.

NFC SOUTH

Atlanta 10 (Even over/-110 over) First Time: Over, Today: Over The only way this team doesn’t win more than ten games is an injury to Matt Ryan. Other concern is getting to the QB which must get better. Too many weapons offensively not to like this team.

Carolina 7 (-135 over/+105 under) First Time: Under, Today: Even Cam Newton will be better this year and the addition of Ted Ginn, Jr. will help offensively and on special teams. The division and cross-conference schedule is a bear though.

New Orleans 9 (-145 over/+115 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over With an improved defense and an offense with weapons galore, this team will ride Drew Brees to a big season on what I call the “Sean Payton Revenge Tour.”

Tampa Bay 7.5 (-130 over/Even under) First Time: Over, Today: Over This is the last chance for Josh Freeman or else he’ll be looking for work elsewhere in 2014. The Bucs will ride Doug Martin and an improved defense to get to eight or nine wins.

NFC WEST

Arizona 5.5 (Even over/-130 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over The Cards’ defense will be opportunistic with a lot of good athletes making plays. Carson Palmer will do well in Bruce Arians’ offense if he can stay healthy behind a weak O-line.

San Francisco 11 (-120 over/-110 under) First Time: Under, Today: Even The Niners will be very good again but there is just something that troubles me and I can’t put my finger on it. With an improved division and several trips East I think they win 11.

Seattle 10.5 (-135 over/+105 under) First time: Under, Today: Over I think 11 is the number for the Seahawks who will do good things on both sides of the ball but I think their maturity in some areas is still lacking. Getting home-field advantage should be their number one priority.

St. Louis 7.5 (-130 over/Even under) First Time: Over, Today: Under I’m just not sold on Sam Bradford and I have no idea who will run the ball for the Rams. The defense will get to the quarterback but the lack of consistency on offense worries me.

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