Many people who enjoy sports betting are highly intelligent. However, being intelligent does not necessarily mean that you are organized or efficient. On the contrary, the majority of even intelligent sports bettors are sloppy with the way they bet.
The best gamblers, though—as you know if you are one of them, or know one of them—use a systematized approach to sports betting. The best bettors make use of sports betting systems.
Anytime you are playing against the house and you are undisciplined, disorganized, and without a plan, you are in deep trouble.
If you want to become a better sports bettor, then, perhaps it’s time you looked at some of the sports betting systems that are available today. Fortunately, there are a good number of systems that you can employ to make better picks and more money.
Here are a few things that you should keep in mind when looking for a sports betting system:
Too Much Data Can Be a Good Thing: Multiple Regressions
One of the most popular sports betting systems is called multiple regressions. Like many other powerful systems in our world, the multiple regressions system is based upon the idea that if you want to know the future, you must study the past.
Thanks to the Internet and the myriad giant databases attached to it, it is easier than ever to gather historical data you need to utilize historical data-based betting systems such as multiple regressions betting system. Good sports betting sites are constantly adding more historical data so that visitors to the site can have the information they need to make informed picks.
But just having historical data is not enough to improve your sports betting performance; you must know how to apply that historical data and use it to predict future events.
That is where historical data-based sports betting systems come into play.
Multiple regressions, in particular, when attempting to predict the outcome of a certain game or match, will take into account a number of relevant past performance issues, asking and answering questions such as:
– How have these two teams fared against each other in the past 5,10, 15, or even 20 years?
– How important has home field advantage been in past match-ups?
– If one team dominated the other for many years, but now it’s the other way around, what was the “X-factor” that changed the dynamic? Is that “X-factor,” for instance a special player on a team, injured or departed from the team? If so, is that fully factored into the betting odds?
If you are a “do your homework” kind of bettor who can absorb and analyze large data sets, the multiple regressions system is a sports betting weapon that should in your arsenal.
The Unusual Is Valuable: Statistical Anomalies
Have you ever noticed that sports are crazy? That one little thing, one tiny difference, can make or break an entire game and, with it, make or break your sports betting account?
The Statistical Anomalies sports betting system is all about finding those little things, those tiny differences, that can make or break that game that can then make or break your account.
The search for statistical anomalies is not always easy or completely scientific. You will want to take into consideration such seemingly random and insignificant data points as:
– How long-distance travel impacts the performance of an important player
– Any gossip surrounding a team that could change their normal performance, for example one player recently impregnated another player’s wife
– If a player is playing in his hometown, how will that affect performance? Might not this player stay out a little too late, drink a little too much, try to “do too much” in front of the hometown friends and family?
When you use the statistical anomalies sports betting approach, you really do need to sweat the small stuff. The good thing is that few other bettors do this kind of analysis, meaning that thinking small can be a big advantage.
French Math: Martingale and D’Alembert
You’ve got to give it to those 18th Century French mathematicians: not only were they snazzy dressers, but they also were systematically creative bettors.
The Martingale sports betting system is one example of this French flair for the dramatic. The Martingale system is very simple, too: after each loss, you double the amount of your bet. Eventually you will win a bet, and this will bring you back to even.
The Martingale is frequently used in blackjack and roulette, but can also be applied to sports betting.
As you know if you’ve ever employed this tactic, there may not be such a thing as Santa Claus but there is such a thing as a terrible losing streak. You certainly can decimate your bankroll in short order when you misuse Martingale.
However, when employed TEMPORARILY, the Martingale betting system can work.
Another 18th Century France, math-based sports betting system that has gained some traction is the D’Alembert system. This system is the opposite of the Martingale in the sense that it requires the bettor to reduce the next bet after a win, and increase the next bet after a loss.
For instance, if you bet $5 on a game, and lose your bet, the next game you would bet $6. If you lost again, you would bet $7, and so forth. Each loss, you would increase your subsequent bet by one “unit.” Same thing with wins, except decreasing your bet by one unit each time.
The D’Alembert system is meant to “smooth out” your betting action and prevent you from going on the proverbial rollercoaster ride that ends in the proverbial financial train wreck.
An Edge Is Not a Guarantee
With any sports betting systems that you explore, it’s essential to remember that there is no such thing as a foolproof sports betting system. You are NEVER going to find a sports betting system that guarantees you become a millionaire.
Some people take this lack of a guarantee as an indication that sports betting systems are all bogus. But this is not so.
There are sports betting systems that can give you an edge as you make your picks. In fact, we do not know of any winning bettors who are completely without a system and just “go with their gut” on every pick—do you know any winning bettors like that?
An edge is not a guarantee, no it’s certainly not, but sometimes, when you’ve got a big bet on line, an edge is exactly what you need.