Similar to the multiple regressions sports betting system, the Statistical Anomalies sports betting system seeks to make use of the vast amount of sports information that is flying around our world, especially on the Internet.
Unlike the multiple regressions method, though, the statistical anomalies sports betting system teaches sports bettors to see the trend, the big picture, but then look closer and make a betting decision based on a much smaller piece of information.
Bettors who use the statistical anomalies system do not ignore “big picture” stats like which team is better at home, but may make betting picks on more random, seemingly insignificant facts such as one team’s quarterback used to be college roommates with the other team’s second-string cornerback.
The mainstream sports bettor wouldn’t even know that fact, or would gloss over it, but to the user of the statistical anomalies betting system, that tidbit of information is good as gold.
Everyone Else Is Wrong, and Here’s Why
As the word “anomalies” implies, sports bettors who use the statistical anomalies system are looking for the out-of-the-ordinary fact that is not being adequately priced into a bet. At heart, then, this system is all about being a contrarian, going against what everyone else thinks.
Going against what everyone else thinks is often an extremely profitable endeavor in sports betting because you can get much more favorable odds when you are betting against the crowd. One only need recall Mike Tyson vs. Buster Douglas at 42-1 to understand this point.
However, you must not get lazy when using this system; you can’t just be a contrarian just to be a contrarian, or just to get better odds or a bigger money line payout. Just because Wisconsin is -38 against Northwestern doesn’t mean that you should bet Northwestern.
Instead, the statistical anomalies sports betting system requires the bettor to identify an empirical reason why everyone else is wrong, and therefore it’s time to bet against the crowd.
If you discover, in your research, that Wisconsin’s quarterback used to be college roommates and best friends with Northwestern’s second-string cornerback, and that second-string cornerback has been telling his first-string buddies everything he knows about Wisconsin’s QB…
Well then, my friend, in that seemingly insignificant fact, you may have a reason to bet Northwestern.
Vicious Gossip, Nagging Injuries, and Red Hot Three-Point Shooters
What kind of things should you look for, if you’re looking to exploit the statistical anomalies sports betting system? The short answer: anything out of the ordinary that can determine the outcome of a match. Such as:
Gossip. Sticks and stones break bones, but words are where the money’s at. Who’s saying what, about who, and why—keep your ears peeled for factors that aren’t in the mainstream stats.
Injuries. Of the nagging variety, that is, because injuries that everyone knows about are rarely statistical anomalies (unless you’re betting that the injury is no big deal, and everyone else thinks it is). Think hamstring injury from two months ago, that everyone’s forgotten about but the player hasn’t…and neither have you.
Red Hot Three-Point Shooters. Especially in college basketball, a MUCH better team can easily lose to a team that has a red-hot three point shooter. This statistical anomaly can go for any “game changing” players that may be underestimated by the legions of average sports bettors: the dangerous kick returner, the penalty kick expert in soccer, the hockey goalie that always plays particularly well against a certain team.
These little things and little things like them can matter, a lot.
How to Interpret Statistical Anomalies
It’s fairly simple to identify statistical anomalies, once you know what you’re looking for.
But how to interpret them, how to take that bit of information and make a profitable bet based on it, is an entirely different story.
Certainly, some sports bettors are more skilled at interpreting statistical anomalies than others. The good news is that, with practice, you too can learn to recognize the small, contrarian factors that can make a big difference in the bottom line of your sports betting account.