Back in early July, I made my selections on team win totals for the teams in American Football Conference. With the preseason ending tonight, I’m revisiting those picks and making changes where necessary. There aren’t a ton of reversals but the ones I have switched around are very notable.
Buffalo Bills 6.5 (+110 over/-140 under) First time: Under, Today Under The Bills quarterback situation is an absolute mess with Kolb out indefinitely and Manuel not ready for the opener.
Miami Dolphins 8 (Even over/130 under) First time: Over, Today: Over We’ve already seen the Mike Wallace that can be both electrifying and uninvolved through the preseason. I’m staying with the over only because of the weak AFC East.
New England 11 (+105 over/-135 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under The Pats will be competitive as long as Belichick and Brady are around and I like the defense, but there are too many holes to like the over.
New York 6.5 (+110 over/-140 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under This is too easy. Their QB issues might be worse than the Bills. Will Rex even survive the season?
Baltimore 8.5 (-135 over/+105 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over I still like the Ravens to get to nine wins because of their offense, but they have tons of guys to replace on both sides.
Cleveland 6 (+135 over/-105 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over I like the Weeden-Turner marriage and I like the defense as well. Could be a surprise team if Richardson is healthy.
Cincinnati 8.5 (-140 over/+110 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over The Bengals have too much talent not to win 10 games. The playoffs may be a different story though.
Pittsburgh 9 (-125 over/-105 under) First Time: Over, Today: Under Le’Veon Bell is injured and the offensive line is one of the youngest and weakest in the league. Can’t see Roethlisberger staying healthy behind them.
Houston 10.5 (Even over/-130 under) First Time: Under, Today: Over The AFC South is pretty weak and the Texans will take advantage. They only go as far as Matt Schaub can take them though.
Indianapolis 8.5 (-120 over/-110 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under I think Luck will have a nice season, but the loss of Arians will have an impact as the Colts slip back this year.
Jacksonville 5 (-115 over/-115 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under No quarterback, limited defense and a prima donna wideout spell disaster.
Tennessee 6.5 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Over, Today: Under I really liked the Titans prior to the start of the preseason but Jake Locker has struggled. With inconsistent QB play, the Titans can’t win regularly.
Denver 11.5 (-110 over/-120 under) First Time: Under, Today: Over I thought the schedule would be tougher for them but now it doesn’t look so bad with teams like the Cowboys and Titans stinking it up. 12 wins should be the number.
Kansas City 7.5 (-105 over/-125 under) First Time: Over, Today: Over Andy Reid immediately upgrades this team as does Alex Smith. If they can get decent production from the receivers then I like them even more.
Oakland 5.5 (+110 over/-140 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under It looks like Matt Flynn has lost yet another starting job. Terrelle Pryor will probably get the start week one. That doesn’t instill a lot of confidence in me or anyone else for that matter.
San Diego 7.5 (Even over/-130 under) First Time: Under, Today: Under I think the combination of Rivers with new offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt will be good, I just don’t know if there is enough talent around to make it work. They have issues on defense as well.