Saints 4.5-point Chalk at Home Versus 49ers

The New Orleans Saints host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday at the Superdome. The Saints are 4-4 SU ad ATS this season but have covered three straight games. The 49ers are 4-4 SU and ATS.

New Orleans has tight end Jimmy Graham back healthy and an improved defense as they look to run away with the title in the NFC South.

The 49ers however are headed down having lost their last two games, including a home loss last Sunday to St. Louis 13-10.

According to Bovada and sportsbook.com, San Francisco was scoreless over the last 41 minutes of last week’s game.

Last November 17, the Saints defeated the 49ers 23-20 but failed to cover as a favorite of 3.5 points. The UNDER cashed in that game as the total was 5o and the teams combined for just 43.

The current line at betonline and topbet has New Orleans favored by 4.5 points with the point total on 49.

Trends

  • New Orleans is 35-16 ATS over its past 51 games at home.
  • San Francisco is 4-0 ATS over its past games against New Orleans.
  • The UNDER has cashed in 8 of the past 11 games San Francisco has played overall.
  • The OVER has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games New Orleans has played overall.
  • The 49ers are 2-4 against the number when playing the role of a road dog.

New Orleans has put up 72 points over the last two weeks. In those two games, Drew Brees had 608 yards passing with 5 TDs and 1 interception.

The Saints have run the ball well this season. New Orleans’ 4.8 yards per carry on the ground is tied in the NFL for second and the team’s 12 rushing TDs is tied for first.

The 49ers are a different story. San Francisco allowed St. Louis to record eight sacks last week. The offensive line was called for 4 penalties and had another two declined.

Colin Kaepernick the 49ers quarterback fumbled the ball on the goal line before he could score what would have been the winning touchdown against the Rams.

Patrick Willis a linebacker for San Francisco has been out for weeks, but is expected to play on Sunday.

Pierre Thomas a running back for New Orleans and fellow back Khiry Robinson could miss their third straight game.

The two teams played last season with New Orleans winning by 3, but the spread was covered by San Francisco.

The defense for San Francisco, which is ranked No. 2 in yards per game, will keep them close.

The UNDER is a solid play, with a lean towards the 49ers covering the 4.5 points.

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