The Dallas Mavericks 52-36 on the season visit the San Antonio Spurs 65-23 in Game 7 of their best of seven first round NBA Western Conference playoff series.
Dallas defeated San Antonio in Game 6 to even the series and force Game 7 tonight at the AT&T Center in San Antonio.
Bovada has a line with San Antonio favored by 6.5 points. Topbet has the total points sitting on 198.5.
The series has been competitive from the start. In Game 6, the Mavericks won 113-111 as a three-point home dog. Both teams shot 51% or better from the field in Game 6, but Dallas was able to overcome a 5-point deficit to start the fourth quarter and outscore the Spurs 37-30 to take the 2-point win.
The Mavericks have covered each of the first six games of the series.
The high scorer in the game for both teams was Monta Ellis the shooting guard for Dallas who scored 29 points. Tony Parker the point guard for San Antonio led his team with 22 points.
Dallas in the road is 24-20 straight up, but an impressive 30-14 against the spread, including 20-7 ATS as an underdog on the road.
However, San Antonio has one of the best records at home this season. The Spurs are 34-10 straight up but only 20-24 against the spread.
Over the past few years, this matchup has been dominated by San Antonio according to data taken from sportsbook.com and betonline.
The Spurs were 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS over the past nine games against the Mavericks prior to this series.
Dallas barely made the postseason as the No. 8 seed and was not given much of a chance with their first round matchup against San Antonio. However, Dallas is scoring 102 points per game against a tough defense for the Spurs.
San Antonio has been one of the elite teams in the league over the past decade. However, if they lose today will be just the sixth No. 1 seeded team to lose to a No. 8 seed in the first round.
The Spurs’ three veteran leaders Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are all averaging 17 plus points per game. Thiago Splitter, the team’s talented center is scoring 12 points per game, while leading the team in rebounding with over 10 per game during the postseason.
Home court advantage has not been that much of a factor as both the Spurs and Mavericks have won on the road in this series. However, San Antonio has had a superior season at home with 34 wins in 44 games.
Prediction: San Antonio’s experience will prevail and push them into the next round, but not without a tough fight from the Mavericks. San Antonio wins 108-104.