The Seattle Seahawks are on the road this week and are still double-digit favorites for Monday Night Football against the St. Louis Rams.
The 6-1 Seattle Seahawks will be taking on a 3-4 Rams team that will be without Sam Bradford its starting quarterback who tore his ACL in week 7.
Kellen Clemens the replacement for Bradford has not been a starter in a game in the NFL since 2011. Even with Bradford, the Rams were not the best of bets covering only twice in seven games to start the season.
By contrast, Seattle has a record of 5-2 against the spread after seven games. Dating back as far as the preseason of 2011, Seattle is covering at a rate of 75% in all its games, with a mark of 39-13-1 ATS.
Not since 2005, has Seattle been a favorite on the road by 10 points or more. That season, the Seahawks won the NFC title. San Francisco was the opponent back then with a 1-7 SU record. San Francisco gave them a game and nearly pulled off an upset but the Seahawks won SU but lost ATS.
The current line has Seattle favored by 11 points with the point total on 43 on most betting sites like Bovada, betonline, topbet and sportsbook.com.
The line opened last week at 10.5 and is up to its current 11, but there are sites where Seattle is laying 11.5 and even 12.5.
Seattle has won SU and ATS in three of the last five games head to head with St. Louis. Last season St. Louis split with Seattle in their two meetings including a 19-13 upset win in St. Louis. St. Louis was 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS in the two games last season with Seattle.
Seattle should be able to take advantage of a weak St. Louis defense that has allowed the second most yards in the league per pass attempt at nearly 8. In addition, the Rams have allowed over 126 yards rushing per game, which is third most in the entire league.
The big question of the game is will St. Louis succeed in moving the ball against the defense of Seattle, which is allowing fewer yards each play than all other teams in the league.
It would have been a concern even if Bradford had been starting, let along Clemens. St. Louis is ranked No. 30 in the league in yards gained, with just the Jaguars and Buccaneers worse.
Prior to Bradford going down with his injury, the Rams had won two consecutive games SU and AT, including one over Houston on the road.
A poor running team with a new backup quarterback against the league’s toughest defense spells a possible shutout or at least a double digit difference.
Pick: Lay the point and take the Seahawks