Do not look now but NFL training camps start in a month and bettors have already been influencing the opening numbers for football.
Bovada, betonline and a host of other sportsbooks are already receiving action on regular season total wins, division and conference winners and Super Bowl futures.
Ten weeks from today, the Seattle Seahawks host the Green Bay Packers for opening night of the NFL on Thursday.
Looking at a number of different sportsbooks including topbet and sportsbook.com shows that bettors believe the Titans, Jaguars, Bears and Rams are being undervalued in their opening numbers.
On the other side of the coin, bettors considered the Chiefs, Falcons and Panthers as being overvalued.
Last season the public was behind Seattle and has once again backed them thus far. In 2013, the Seahawks opened at 12 to 1 to win the Super Bowl and were bet down at once to 6 to 1, before they eventually reached 4 to 1.
The defending Super Bowl champions this season were opened following their Super Bowl win at 8 to 1 but were immediately shortened to 4 to 1 with bettors backing a repeat for the Seahawks.
On many books, the most action has been on Seattle, followed by Green Bay, Chicago and Denver.
One book said that Green Bay has had the most action, but Seattle the most money.
One analyst on a prominent sports site said Green Bay had bad break after bad break last season. With Aaron Rodgers once again healthy and a division that is not as strong as in other seasons has given them lots of action.
On one sportsbook, Green Bay opened at 18 to 1 and now sits at 8 to 1.
The Bears are also popular this summer. Chicago opened 20 to 1 on Bovada to be the Super Bowl winner. That has since been slashed down by half by bettors.
The Bears opened at 7 to 2 to be the NFC North champions and that has been bet down to 3 to 1.
Last season, the Bears were a solid team but decimated by injuries. This season the team’s defense has improved and with a few breaks could be a team to beat in the NFC.
Chicago used four of its first five picks in the NFL draft to shore up its defense. The team also signed Jared Allen a standout defensive end to replace the spot left vacant by the departure of Julius Peppers.
Seven of the eight winners of divisions last season are once again favored to win the division again this season.
The NFC South has the exception where New Orleans at 6 to 5 is expected to take the top spot from the Carolina Panthers. The odds of that are good, as the division has not had a repeat champion since it became an NFL division in 2002.
Last season’s favorites were an impressive 139-122-5 ATS for a success rate of 53.3%, while favorites at home were even more impressive at 93-78-4 ATS for a 54.4% rate.
West was the best last season, as the NFC West was 42-22 and the AFC West was 37-27 and this season the two divisions meet head to head which could influence win totals.