The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Kansas City Chiefs in a critical AFC matchup with huge playoff implications on the line.
If Pittsburgh wins, they can clinch a spot in the playoffs. Kansas City must continue winning to stay alive in the hunt for a wildcard.
The current line has Pittsburgh favored by 3 points with the point total sitting on 46.5.
According to Bovada and betonline, Kansas City is 11-5 against the number in its past 16 games on the road.
Pittsburgh is 6-0 against the spread in its past 6 games against opponents with a record above .500.
The OVER has cashed in each of the past 6 games Pittsburgh has played at home.
Kansas City is 4-1 against the number in its past 5 games against Pittsburgh.
Kansas City is 6-1 against the number in 7 games as an underdog.
According to topbet and sportsbook.com, Kansas City in the past three games head to head against Pittsburgh has been an underdog by double-digits
The UNDER is 9-5 this season in Kansas City games, and the past two scores in this matchup have ended 16-13 and 13-9.
The Steelers this season however have a team that is much different from the ones that played those two previous games. The Pittsburgh team this season has a better offense and worse defense.
Offensively Kansas City is an open book. Jamaal Charles at running back is the team’s best weapon. In addition, no wide receiver for Kansas City has a touchdown reception this season.
Alex Smith at quarterback commits very few turnovers and Kansas City has just 16 as a team all season.
Nonetheless, the Chiefs are still -6 on the season in turnover ratio.
Pittsburgh’s motivation in this game is simple, win and the Steelers reach the playoffs.
The Steelers games this season are opposite to the Chiefs with the OVER going 9-5.
The Pittsburgh offense is led by Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback, Le’Veon Bell at running back and Antonio Brown at wide receiver.
Defensively, the Steelers are shaky, but at linebacker, the team is finally getting healthier.
The Chiefs defense allows only 18 points a game, but 4.9 yard a carry on the ground, which is the worst in the league. Look for Bell to have a big day for the Steelers.
This is similar to a playoff game. The loser will likely be done. Pittsburgh has beaten its opponents at home by an average of 7 points with the total averaging 63.
The Steelers have been at home only once in their past five games and lost that to New Orleans.
I like Pittsburgh less the 3 points and the UNDER.