Trends are what help bookmakers set their lines and can help the public bettor have a higher percentage chance of winning this Sunday in Super Bowl XLVIII.
Of course, the important thing is deciding what trends are important and which ones might not have much effect on the outcome of the game or your bet.
The Super Bowl has been played since 1967 and in this one pitting the Denver Broncos vs. the Seattle Seahawks might be one of the most evenly matched of the 47 already played.
Super Bowl XLVIII is the first SB in the past 20 years to have two No. 1 seeds facing off, both teams come into the matchup with 15-3 SU records.
During the regular season, both teams played against the teams from the AFC South. Both teams were 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS.
In the games versus playoff teams during the regular season, Denver finished 6-3 straight up and 5-4 against the spread. Seattle was 4-2 SU and ATS.
Head to head
Denver has a record against Seattle since 1993 of 16-5 straight up and 12-8-1 against the spread.
Seattle is 1-19 SU over its past 20 games against teams from the AFC West who have a .800 or better winning percentage.
Stats Do the Talking
The defense for Seattle is No. 1 overall in the NFL. The Seahawks allow only 284 yards and 15 points per game.
The offense for Denver is No. 1 in the league with 454 yards and 36 points per game averages.
As mentioned in a previous report, this is the sixth time the No. 1 offense has played the No. 1 defense in the Super Bowl. The defense is 4-1 in those matchups.
In addition, the team, with the better overall defense, and in this case it is Seattle, is 39-8 SU in the previous 47 Super Bowls.
However, more recently, the better defensive teams are only 2-5 straight up and 1-6 against the spread over the past seven Super Bowls.
Favorites in the Super Bowl of 5 points or less, in the two-week rest period – bye the first week of the playoffs and the week off before the Super Bowl – are 1-7 SU as well as ATS. Denver is favored by just 2.5 points as of Monday.
Both teams have strong quarterbacks. Denver’s Peyton Manning tore up the league’s defenses this season for 55 touchdown passes and just 10 picks. Russell Wilson for Seattle had 26 touchdowns and 9 picks.
Manning led the league in passing and has continued with a high ranking in the postseason, while Wilson’s numbers have fallen during the playoffs.
Manning is 2-2 straight up and 3-1 against the spread versus Seattle. Overall, with Denver, Manning is an impressive 29-7 straight up and 22-12-1 against the spread.
The Broncos are not known for defense, but in 14 games they have held their opponents to 200 passing yards or less, Denver is 12-2 straight up and 10-4 against the spread.
The NFC is 21-11 SU as well as 20-10-3 ATS over the past 32 Super Bowls. Over the past five, the NFC is 4-1 straight up and against the spread.
Soon it will be time to decide which team gets your play.