Kentucky Laying 2.5 against UConn in National …

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March Madness concludes tonight when the national champion of college basketball will be crowned in Arlington. Texas. The Kentucky Wildcats take on the Connecticut Huskies in what should be a very closely contested game from start to finish.

Kentucky is a No. 8 seed, while Connecticut is a No. 7 seed. Bovada and sportsbook.com have Kentucky as short chalk, but UConn has thrived as the dog in this NCAA Tournament.

According to data taken from topbet and betonline, UConn becomes the first No. 7 seed to reach the final, while it is the fourth time a No. 8 seed has reached the final.

In another first, Kentucky will look to become the first college team with five starters who are all freshmen to win a national championship. That would surpass the Fab Five from Michigan who were losers to Duke 71-51 in the championship game of 1992.

The Huskies have a great deal more experience in their backcourt with Ryan Boatright a junior and senior and top player Shabazz Napier.

Bovada currently has Kentucky at -2.5 with the over/under point total sitting on 134.5. The number has gone as high at 3 and as low as 2, but seems to have settled on 2.5.

Connecticut versus Kentucky all time is 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread. Connecticut defeated Kentucky in the Final Four in 2011. In that game, UConn was a dog by 2 points but won 56-55.

Three of the top players on the Huskies played in that game as freshmen, although the stars of the game were Jeremy Lamb and Kemba Walker.

Connecticut has won three NCAA national championships, while Kentucky has won eight. Only UCLA has won more national titles (11) than the Wildcats.

Kentucky’s most recent national championship was in 2012 when they started two sophomores and three freshmen.

In its past 8 games, Kentucky has covered the spread in 7. In each of the past four games Kentucky has played, the OVER has cashed with an average combined score of 147.8.

UConn has covered the spread in each of its five games in this NCAA tournament. The Huskies have won the past four outright as underdogs.

Kentucky has won its past four games in this tournament by a combined 11 points. They defeated a tough Wisconsin team 74-73 in their Final Four. The results were a push as Kentucky had been favored by 1 point.

It was the second straight game Aaron Harrison knocked down a three pointer in the final seconds. It was just the fifth three-pointer the Wildcats had attempted in the entire game.

UConn has the more talented individual player in the backcourt with All-American Napier. However, twin brothers Andrew and Aaron Harrison will have a decided height advantage and can get into the lane and take advantage of that size.

This game in the minds of many bookmakers is a tossup. While some believe Kentucky should be favored by 3 to 4 points, others see great value in the Huskies as the underdog.

Kentucky had just 4 turnovers versus Wisconsin and has learned to become disciplined with what is working for them at the time.

There is definite relationship with the total points regardless the team you like. Kentucky bettors will like the OVER, as the Wildcats will push the pace. A win by UConn likely will mean an UNDER as 24 of the previous 37 games Connecticut has posted a total it was UNDER.

Pick: Kentucky 74-67

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Sunday NCAA Lines for College Basketball

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It might be Sunday but there is a good slate of games in college basketball to wager on. SMU heads to the northeast to tackle Connecticut, while Michigan State visits arch rival Michigan in a rematch. These two matchups are the most intriguing of the Sunday lineup.

When Michigan State hosted Michigan earlier this season, both teams entered the game on a roll. The Spartans were on an 11-game winning streak, while the Wolverines had won 8 straight.

The game was won by Michigan 80-75 as a 5-point road dog. Since then, both teams have not played as well as they had prior to their head-to-head game. Since that game, neither team has been able to win two straight games.

Michigan is currently a favorite by 3.5 points on betonline and topbet and the point total is sitting on 137 on Bovada and sportsbook.com.

After being in the top 10 of the Power Ratings for much of the season, the Spartans are now sitting at No. 18. Much of that is thanks to a number of injuries to their best players. Adreian Payne missed the game versus Michigan earlier in the season, but will play in this one.

However, Branden Dawson is out with a fractured hand. Keith Appling the point guard is playing with a sore wrist and has a hard time even to shoot, let alone have a high shooting percentage. Over his past two games played, Appling has hit just 1 of his 3 shots.

At the same time, Michigan with a lineup of three guards seems to play better as a team without Mitch McGary. He has been sidelined since January 7 after having back surgery.

Both teams play excellent defense and each is holding its opponents to less than 65 points a game. The winner is a tough call, while the game looks to be almost certainly an UNDER pick.

Pick: Michigan and the UNDER – Michigan has better offense and that slight advantage will be big in such a defensive struggle. Appling’s injury also limits the Spartans on the offensive end.

In the other intriguing matchup, Southern Methodist is the underdog to Connecticut by 7.5 points. On January 4, SMU defeated Connecticut 74-65 in the first game between the two teams. The point total went OVER as Bovada had the game at 133.5 points.

The pace of the first game between the two schools suggests the UNDER for this game, as free throws late pushed it OVER in the first game.

Both teams are very tough on defenses and can stop their opponents from scoring. In addition, SMU has to travel a long distance and will have an early tip off time of 2 pm.

That could add to the fact the game looks like a strong UNDER choice.

Pick: SMU plus the points and the UNDER

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