Odds for 20 NFL Teams to Make the 2015-16 Playoffs

casino-123

The NFL season will not start for another four plus months, but that does not stop bookmakers from releasing odds for futures betting.

One sportsbook in Las Vegas and others offshore have opened the wagering for the playoff prospects of 20 NFL teams during the upcoming 2015-16 season.

Indianapolis and Seattle are the two teams with the shortest odds to make the NFL postseason, with their Yes side at -350. Those two teams are followed by defending NFL Champions the New England Patriots at -320 to enter the playoffs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are -130 to reach the postseason this NFL season after not making the playoffs this past season when the team lost three of its final four games and finished just 10-6.

New Orleans also did not reach the playoffs last season, but are at even money to reach the postseason this season.

Four teams from last year that made the playoffs – Carolina, Cincinnati, Detroit and Arizona are underdogs the return the postseason. Of the four, the one with the longest odds is Arizona at +155.

These odds reflect trades that took place during the signing of free agents. However, the NFL Draft is Thursday and that could help change this board, as teams look for the best group of draftees they can acquire.

The New England Patriots were listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl next season after winning the Vince Lombardi trophy this season. This season Seattle is also expected to be strong in the NFC, battling with the Packers, Cowboys and Eagles for a spot in the postseason.

New England in this poll is No. 2 to reach the playoffs, with Indianapolis at the top.

2015-16 NFL Playoff Prop

Colts: Yes -350, No +275
Seahawks: Yes -350, No +275
Patriots: Yes -320, No +250
Packers: Yes -280, No +230
Broncos: Yes -230, No +185
Cowboys: Yes -140, No +110
Eagles: -130, No +100
Ravens: Yes -120, No -110
Steelers: Yes -115, No -115
Saints: Yes +100, No -130
Panthers: Yes +120, No -150
Bengals: Yes +120, No -150
Texans: Yes +120, No -150
Lions: Yes +130, No -170
Chiefs: Yes +135, No -165
Bills: Yes +140, No -170
Chargers: Yes +145, No -175
Cardinals: Yes +155, No -185
Dolphins: Yes +155, No -185
49ers Yes +175, No -210

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare

Odds Makers Adjust Super Bowl 50 Odds Following Frenzy of …

casino-110

Odds makers did not make many adjustments to the Super Bowl 50 futures boards when it was released this past Sunday, even though a number of free agents moves were confirmed, but not yet finalized.

However, after the free agent and trade frenzy on Tuesday afternoon and into Wednesday, odds makers had to make a number of adjustments. According to Bovada and betonline, this many adjustments at this time of year are unparalleled.

Seattle was involved in a huge trade when they acquired Jimmy Graham the talented quarterback from the New Orleans Saints. The trade was a shock to most people and the Seahawks went from 6 to 1 to 5 to 1 and a co-favorite with the New England Patriots to win Super Bowl 50.

Indianapolis made a significant move with its acquisition of Trent Cole a defensive end from Philadelphia and the signing of Andre Johnson and Frank Cole two veteran free agents. The acquisitions shortened the odds for the Colts to 12 to 1 from 15 to 1 and eventually all the way to their current 10 to 1.

Others that had their odds shortened included the New York Jets who signed Darrelle Revis to a free agent contract. According to topbet and sportsbook.com, the odds for the Jets shortened from 100 to 1 to 40 to 1.

Two teams saw their odds lengthened following the frenzy of activity on Tuesday.

The Philadelphia Eagles who traded quarterback Nick Foles for quarterback Sam Bradford saw their odds lengthened to 30 to 1 from 25 to 1. However, there are rumors that the Eagles could use their new QB to trade up and take Marcus Mariota in the draft.

The San Francisco 49ers saw their odds grow from 25 to 1 to 40 to 1 after losing top players Patrick Willis and Justin Smith to retirement and Frank Gore to free agency. The team has a new head coach and a new system to learn hence the movement of the odds.

Odds are that there will be other adjustments as other big name free agents sign and trades are made. Following this frenzy of activity, the NFL Draft will be the next place that movement of the odds could take place.

Super Bowl 50 Odds

Seattle Seahawks 5 to 1

New England Patriots 5 to 1

Green Bay Packers 7 to 1

Denver Broncos 10 to 1

Indianapolis Colts 10 to 1

Dallas Cowboys 15 to 1

Baltimore Ravens 25 to 1

Pittsburgh Steelers 25 to 1

New York Giants 28 to 1

Philadelphia Eagles 28 to 1

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare
The Casino Review sportsbook blog provides news and analysis on the online sports betting industry, helping experienced and recreational bettors get the most out of their online betting experience.

NFL Free Agent Season Has Little Impact on Super Bowl …

casino-18

Free agent season officially starts in the NFL on Tuesday March 10 at 4:00 p.m., but do not tell that to the teams or the media as a number of players have already agreed to join new teams next season.

Even though rumors were flying for the past week and deals confirmed, odds makers have changed the Super Bowl 50 futures very little.

It takes a great deal to move the futures for the NFL. A good example is in Miami. Ndamukong Suh the talented defensive end for the Detroit Lions has agreed to a record contract with the Miami Dolphins. The deal will become official this afternoon. However, odds makers have not changed the Miami Dolphins odds to win Super Bowl 50 from last week leaving them at 30 to 1.

Last week, there was very little reaction to the trade that sent LeSean McCoy from Philadelphia to Buffalo for Kiko Alonso, even though McCoy finished third in rushing and had over 6,700 yards rushing in his five seasons with the Eagles.

However, the betting industry including both bettors and odds makers are taking a close look at DeMarco Murray and his current team the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys did not place the franchise tag on Murray thus, he is able to sign with any team starting this afternoon. At this time odds makers have Dallas at 12 to 1 to win Super Bowl 50. However, that could change slightly depending upon what Murray decides to do.

Below are some of the deals that have been reportedly agreed to that include free agent signings and trades.

  • Jacksonville – Julius Thomas from Denver
  • Jacksonville – Jared Odrick from Miami
  • Arizona – Mike Iupati from San Francisco
  • Chicago – Pernell McPhee from Baltimore
  • San Diego – Orlando Franklin from Denver
  • Oakland – Rodney Hudson from Kansas City
  • Kansas City – Jeremy Maclin from Philadelphia
  • Miami – Ndamukong Suh from Detroit
  • Philadelphia – Frank Gore from San Francisco
  • Philadelphia – Byron Maxwell from Seattle
  • Buffalo – Matt Cassel from Minnesota
  • Buffalo – LeSean McCoy from Philadelphia

There are many other players yet to sign a free agent deal or re-sign with their current teams, which will have an effect on the futures odds for the Super Bowl during the course of this week.

SUPER BOWL 50 ODDS
NEW ENGLAND 5 to 1
SEATTLE 6 to 1
GREEN BAY 7 to 1
INDIANAPOLIS 10 to 1
DENVER 12 to 1
DALLAS 12 to 1
PHILADELPHIA 20 to 1
DETROIT 20 to 1
BALTIMORE 20 to 1
NEW ORLEANS 25 to 1

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare

2015 NFL Win Totals Posted by Odds Makers

casino-115

Super Bowl XLIX was played just 17 days ago and the win totals for the 2015 season have already been posted for futures wagering online and in Las Vegas.

According to Bovada and betonline, the Seattle Seahawks are projected to win 11 games during the 2015 season, which is the high for the league, while the reigning Super Bowl champion New England Patriots are projected to win 10.5 games.

A number of teams expected to improve their win totals by two or more games were middle of the pack teams this past NFL season. Among those teams are the New Orleans Saints, New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons.

According to topbet and sportsbook.com, the Arizona Cardinals a playoff team with 11 wins during the recently ended NFL season despite a number of issues with quarterbacks going down injured were given a win total of 8.

The Dallas Cowboys should according to the numbers posted drop from their 12-win total of this past season as they have been projected to win 9.5 games.

The Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos are also expected to win fewer games next season than this season, although the two teams are two of just four teams that opened with win totals in the double digits. The win total for the Pittsburgh Steelers has been listed at 8.5, which is two and a half games down from their total of 11 wins this past season. The Oakland Raiders are at the bottom of the heap as they are projected to win just 4.5 games, while the Tennessee Titans are at 5 games and the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 5.5 wins.

2015 NFL Projected win totals, 2014 win totals
49ers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 8
Bears 7 wins, 2014 wins: 5
Bengals 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Bills 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Broncos 10 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Browns 6 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Buccaneers 5.5 wins, 2014 wins: 2
Cardinals 8 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Chargers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Chiefs 8.5, 2014 wins: 9
Colts 9.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Cowboys 9.5 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Dolphins 8 wins, 2014 wins: 8
Eagles 9 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Falcons 8 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Giants 8 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Jaguars 5.5 wins, 2014 wins: 3
Jets 6.5 wins, 2014 wins: 4
Lions 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Packers 10 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Panthers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Patriots 10.5 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Raiders 4.5 wins, 2014 wins: 3
Rams 7.5 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Ravens 9 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Redskins 6 wins, 2014 wins: 4
Saints 9 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Seahawks 11 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Steelers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Texans 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Titans 5 wins, 2014 wins: 2
Vikings 6.5 wins, 2014 wins: 7

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare

Patriots/OVER Hurts Books in Super Bowl XLIX

casiino-1

Super Bowl XLIX has concluded with the New England Patriots winning their fourth Vince Lombardi trophy. The 28-24 victory over Seattle resulted in a four-way teaser victory for many bettors.

The parlay of New England and the OVER also cashed. That means for many sports books there was a less than ideal finish to the NFL season as the books were weighed down with public action in the form of teasers and with parlays with each team linked to the OVER. The majority of books will most likely end up on top but only with a very small win.

Last season’s Super Bowl set a new record for the handle with $119 million and it seems that will be surpassed due to a flood of betting in Vegas prior to the kick off on Sunday.

Sites such as Bovada and sportsbook.com lost teasers as well as parlays, but were able to make up from their futures, props and parlay cards to put them in the black.

As has become customary, the public bettor took the OVER and this time get the better of sharp money, most of whom were on the UNDER. According to topbet and betonline, the total before kickoff was hovering at 47 to 47.5.

The worst case scenario for the books was New England and the OVER but even though that took place, the 350 props helped them to a win.

The three yard TD pass from Tom Brady to wide receiver Julian Edelman with only 2:02 remaining combined with the Malcolm Brown interception at the goal line with only 26 seconds remaining in the game sent backers of the Patriots cashing their tickets.

Not all books were able to come out as winners however. Some took a large amount of action on the Patriots thus the day was not as good for them and even after the props and futures were factored into the equation, the day ended in the red.

One Vegas bookmaker always has higher wagers than others and said it took in one wager of seven figures on New England with a number of others of six figures. With bets of that size, the impact of parlays, teasers and props are minimized.

Many of the books were hurt with the interception by New England to end the game and prevent Seattle from scoring and winning. A win by Seattle and the OVER would have give the books a much better day since the majority of money was on the Pats.

Despite the parlays and teasers hitting the books hard, the intense betting on prop bets means bookmakers will likely come out overall on top.

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare

Why New England Will Win Super Bowl XLIX

casino-1

The New England Patriots will play against the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX today in Arizona.

This is the sixth Super Bowl for New England in the past 14 year, which is the most in league history over a span f 15 or fewer years.

New England’s 12 wins during the regular season was the fifth consecutive season of 12 or more wins. The Pats claimed the AFC East division for the eleventh time in 12 seasons.

The offense for New England was No. 4 in scoring at 29.3 points per game. New England played 7 of the league’s top 10 passing defenses with impressive numbers.

Seattle is ranked No. 1 in pass defense. However, of late the Seahawks have played quarterbacks such as Colin Kaepernick, Drew Stanton, Mark Sanchez, Shaun Hill and Ryan Lindley not your lineup of All-Pros at quarterback.

Brady had plenty of time in the pocket this season with the fourth fewest sacks at 26. Seattle’s quarterback Russell Wilson by contrast was sacked 42 times.

Seattle has a strong defensive secondary, but the group is banged up. Earl Thomas one of the safeties, dislocated a shoulder against Green Bay in the NFC Championship and will not be 100%.

This season the Pats won six of its seven games versus playoff teams, with the only loss in Week 13 at Green Bay 26-21.

The Green Bay loss was the only one New England suffered against NFC opponents.

In its six wins against playoff teams, the Patriots scored 34 points or more in each game, including 42 points or more against three AFC teams Denver, Cincinnati and Indianapolis (twice).

Seattle has not played well during this postseason. Carolina was able to out gain them and the game was much closer than the final score. In Seattle’s win against Green Bay, it was more about what Green Bay did wrong to give away the NFC Championship. The Packers controlled the game from start to finish, but failed miserably on several occasions to put the game out of reach of Seattle.

Seattle cannot afford to start slow or turn the ball over against the potent offense of New England. Seattle will likely not score 16 points from special teams and its defense as it did in last season’s Super Bowl rout of Denver.

New England is 20-4 ATS in games with point spreads between -3 and +3.

The last time the teams met head to head Seattle won 24-23, but New England held Marshawn Lynch to just 41 rushing yards. In five games against New England in his career, including while at Buffalo, Lynch is averaging just 53 yards per game.

The defense for Seattle has a hard time with tight ends. Can you say Rob Gronkowski?

Take New England 27-24.

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare

Breaking Down Super Bowl XLIX

Brady
Brady

I believe Super Bowl XLIX will come down to a final drive and Tom Brady will be under center for it. Will he be successful?

My favorite part of the the two weeks leading up to the playing of the actual Super Bowl is… The playing of the actual Super Bowl.

On Sunday night, we will be able to finally stop worrying about deflate-gate, what Marshawn Lynch says or doesn’t say and whether Idina Menzel has messed up the national anthem or not. In short, it will finally be time to play football.

Choosing who to go with in Super Bowl XLIX has not been easy. There are so many factors that must be considered for both teams and of course we can never predict turnovers or how the game is called by the officials. Nevertheless, I think I have a good read on this game so see whether you agree or not by reading on.

Super Bowl XLIX New England Patriots (-2) vs Seattle Seahawks (O/U 47.5) – Let’s take everything off the field off the table. That means let’s focus on the two teams and not deflate-gate or Marshawn Lynch’s hat.

Tom Brady is making his sixth start in a Super Bowl and he’s lost his last two which were both against the New York Giants. In the prior five Super Bowls, the game has come down to the final drive and I feel this one will be no different.

Seahawks

Look for both Kam Chancellor and Earl Thomas to be involved with covering Rob Gronkowski.

If we analyze both of the Patriots’ losses, the Giants were able to get consistent pressure up the middle on Brady and most of that pressure came from just the front four defensive linemen. The Seahawks are significantly better than the Giants were in the secondary but can they get the same type of pressure the Giants did?

My assumption is that the Patriots will learn from Denver’s struggles last year in the Super Bowl and they will not abandon the run. The problem is whether Josh McDaniels chooses to use LeGarrette Blount or another running back like Jonas Gray. Seattle must also decide how they are going to cover Rob Gronkowski. Will they attempt to keep a linebacker on him or will Kam Chancellor or Earl Thomas be stuck with that assignment?

When the Seahawks are on offense, they will know that Bill Belichick typically likes to take away his opponent’s best player. Common sense points us to that being Russell Wilson or Marshawn Lynch. Pete Carroll and offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell will be prepared and I think you’ll see more read-option from Seattle than we’ve seen recently from them this season.

If they find any success with that, the passing game will open up, especially on the edges and to the tight ends. Will that be enough to keep New England on it’s heels defensively?

Obviously the one area we can’t forget is special teams. Turnovers or major mistakes here are likely to be disastrous as close as I expect this game to be.

Trends: The total has gone UNDER in six of New England’s last eight games… Seattle is 6-2 straight up in their last eight games against New England… The Patriots are 2-6 against the spread in their last right games against the Seahawks… Seattle is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.

Key Injuries: NE C Brian Stork QUES/Knee, CB Brandon Browner QUES/Knee… SEA S Earl Thomas QUES/Shoulder

The Pick:  No one holds a lead as well as the Seahawks but I think they will fall behind early. Tom Brady has an opportunity to seal his legacy as an all-time great with a win and to do it, he’ll need a touchdown to win the game late. I think Seattle takes its’ first lead in the second half and holds on to win 27-23. Take the Seahawks and the points and take the OVER.

LinkedInFacebookBlipShare