AFC Division Winner Odds for 2014

Gronk
Gronk

Rob Gronkowski's health may be the difference for New England's success in 2014.

I gave you the odds on NFC Division winners on Sunday and today it’s the AFC’s turn. I’ll tell you right now I’ve got two big surprises for you. Lets get to the AFC.

AFC East

New England -250 – The window on Tom Brady getting his elusive fourth Super Bowl title is closing. Even if Rob Gronkowski is healthy, does he Brady have enough weapons to get another division title?

Miami +450 – The biggest question is whether or not the Dolphins can survive the early season without center Mike Pouncey. Related to that, have they gotten past the Richie Incognito situation?

NY Jets +750 – Don’t laugh, but this team could challenge for a playoff spot. Why? Because of defense and a running game and more experience at quarterback.

Buffalo +850 – The Bills suffered a horrible blow when LB Kiko Alonso went down last week with a knee injury. My question for Buffalo is can E.J. Manuel stay healthy and take advantage of a ton of weapons?

PICK: NY Jets

AFC North

Cincinnati +200 – Andy Dalton will have even better regular season success under new coordinator Hue Jackson. Can that translate into postseason success? If it doesn’t, Dalton could be gone.

Pittsburgh +200 – The Steelers haven’t missed the playoffs in three consecutive seasons since the late 1990′s. If they can get more pressure defensively and find a legitimate #2 receiver then anything is possible.

Baltimore +250 – The pending Ray Rice suspension might not be that big of a deal considering Rice didn’t play well in 2013. Still, can the Ravens play well on both sides of the ball consistently enough to win the North?

Cleveland +500 – Josh Gordon won’t see the field in 2014. Johnny Manziel continues to make partying a priority. There is talent in Cleveland but I don’t think this is the year it comes together.

PICK: Cincinnati

Luck

In his third year, expectations are higher than ever for Andrew Luck in Indianapolis.

AFC South

Indianapolis -140 – Everyone talks about Andy Dalton’s playoff woes, but Andrew Luck is a miracle comeback away from being 0-2 himself. The Colts need to shore up the run defense and get something out of Trent Richardson before we can hand them the division.

Houston +260 – Bill O’Brien will have this team competitive I guarantee that. The defense may be the funnest in the league to watch but will the quarterback play be enough?

Tennessee +475 – I think Ken Whisenhunt is a really good coach and I believe he will get this team in the thick of the South race. The issue is of course QB, but if Jake Locker can stay healthy, he will play better under Whisenhunt’s tutelage.

Jacksonville +1,400 – I really do like the direction the Jags are headed but I don’t see this year being the one for them to win. Chad Henne makes to many mistakes for the young team to overcome.

PICK: Indianapolis

AFC West 

Denver -275 – The Broncos should survive the post-Super Bowl hangover due to veteran leadership but Denver has a brutal schedule that could cause problems. How much does Manning have left in the tank too?

Kansas City +500 – I fully expect the Chiefs to slip a bit this year and it could be worse if Alex Smith doesn’t get the contract he desires. Andy Reid always has tough teams but this will be a step back in 2014.

San Diego +550 – Philip Rivers continues to carry the mantle of ‘only first round QB from the 2004 draft not to win a Super Bowl.’ Manning and Roethlisberger each have two and Rivers’ isn’t getting any younger. The good news is that if the defense plays well, he could get his shot.

Oakland +1,800 – The Raiders continue to be the team that just can’t put things together and this season won’t be much different.

PICK: San Diego

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NFC Division Winner Odds for 2014

Romo
Romo

In my eyes this is a make or break year for Tony Romo who has to produce the playoffs for the Cowboys.

As I told you on Friday, National Football League Training Camps open in less than two weeks so our time to start breaking down the favorites and long-shots is running short.

Today my focus is NFC Division odds.

NFC East

Philadelphia +125 – The Eagles enter 2014 with De’Sean Jackson in Washington but Coach Chip Kelly feels like the addition of Darren Sproles will help ease some of the burden of Jackson’s loss. Nick Foles proved last season that he is more than capable of being an NFL QB and I expect him to have a similar season.

NY Giants +300 – The G-Men look to bounce back from a disastrous where Eli Manning was nothing short of a turnover machine. Tom Coughlin has brought the Giants two Super Bowl wins but another poor season will send him packing. The offensive and defensive lines both need improvement.

Dallas +375 – The Cowboys’ historically bad defense got another blow when Sean Lee went down with a season-ending injury in OTAs. Despite his monster contract, I think Tony Romo is getting down to his final chances in Big D. If he can’t produce a playoff win then Jerry Jones patience will run even shorter.

Washington +450 – The NFL is more than curious to see how new coach Jay Gruden handles Robert Griffin III. RGIII has to prove he can stay healthy and that means being more of a pocket passer and running when it’s necessary. The defense must get more pressure  to help out the secondary.

PICK: Philadelphia

NFC North

Green Bay -110 – This could be a big year for Green Bay. Clay Matthews has to stay healthy as he has started to lose favor with the fans who are tired of seeing him on the sidelines. With Eddie Lacy in the backfield, I expect Aaron Rodgers to have a monster year.

Chicago +250 – The Bears will go only as far as Jay Cutler can take them. The offense is loaded with weapons so there are no excuses not to be great. With the offensive firepower, the defense doesn’t have to be great, they just need to be consistent.

Detroit +400 – New coach Jim Caldwell has one major goal for Matthew Stafford; make better decisions with the football. Like the Bears, offense shouldn’t be a problem. The defense has to create more consistent pressure because the secondary really hasn’t improved.

Minnesota +1000 – As I said Friday, I think Teddy Bridgewater will be the starting QB on day one. Whether that means success is unclear.

PICK: Green Bay

Smith

I think Lovie Smith will do wonders for the Buccaneers in year one.

NFC South

New Orleans EVEN – The defense improved greatly under Rob Ryan but how does Sean Payton replace Darren Sproles?

Atlanta +325 – Yes the Falcons had a lot of injuries last year but I didn’t think this team recovered from their NFC Title game loss the year before either. I don’t see a bounce back year.

Carolina +325 – The Panthers have lost Steve Smith to the Ravens but a good defense remains. Wide receiving experience is lacking and I think they take a step back.

Tampa Bay +550 – With new coach Lovie Smith aboard, I believe the only thing keeping this team from challenging for the division will be QB play. Luke McCown showed in Chicago he could be successful and I think he will be in Tampa as well.

PICK: Tampa Bay

NFC West

Seattle +130 – The only question is will the hunger remain?

San Francisco +140 – Speaking of hunger, will the 49ers ride it enough to overthrow the Seahawks?

Arizona +700 – Everything appears to be in place in the desert following a 10-win season. If Carson Palmer can stay healthy and avoid turnovers then I like their chances.

St. Louis +700 – 2014 will be a huge year for Sam Bradford. Yes, the division is the toughest in pro football, but he has to get the Rams to the playoffs or questions about his future will pile up.

PICK: Seattle

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NFL Division Futures Now Available Online

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The NFL draft has come and gone and online bookmakers have now posted their odds for the different divisions in the NFL. The Broncos are the prohibitive favorite in the AFC West as they try to avoid the dreaded Super Bowl hangover.

Some bettors might be interested in the Kansas City Chiefs as a long shot on Bovada and topbet to take a run at Denver and their ultra-talented quarterback Peyton Manning.

The odds for each of the eight divisions in the NFL are now available on betonline and sportsbook.com. The biggest favorite in the eight divisions is Denver, though the Broncos are joined by the Patriots, Colts, Seahawks and Packers as odds-on chalk for their respective divisions.

Denver is a 2 to 7 prohibitive favorite to win their third consecutive title in the AFC West. Both the San Diego Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs are priced 5 to 1. Both teams reached the playoffs last season. Those two prices could interest a number of bettors who buy into the Super Bowl hangover theory that could hit Denver.

The divisions that are considered the most competitive are the AFC North, NFC South and NFC East. Washington is the 9 to 2 longest shot in the NFC East on the board, while Tampa Bay is 5 to 1 making them the biggest dog in the NFC South.

These futures will change as spring ends and summer begins to take course. Injuries, trades, trouble with signing draft choices and other factors will move the numbers up or down for each team before the regular season kicks off in early September.

Futures for NFL Divisions

AFC South

Indianapolis Colts 4 to 5

Houston Texans 13 to 5

Tennessee Titans 13 to 5

Jacksonville Jaguars 30 to 1

AFC West

Denver Broncos 2 to 7

Kansas City Chiefs 5 to 1

San Diego Chargers 5 to 1

Oakland Raiders 30 to 1

AFC East

New England Patriots 4 to 13

Miami Dolphins 9 to 2

New York Jets 8 to 1

Buffalo Bills 10 to 1

AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals 8 to 5

Baltimore Ravens 9 to 4

Pittsburgh Steelers 9 to 4

Cleveland Browns 6 to 1

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles 8 to 5

Dallas Cowboys 9 to 4

New York Giants 11 to 4

Washington Redskins 9 to 2

NFC North

Green Bay Packers 5 to 8

Detroit Lions 3 to 1

Chicago Bears 7 to 2

Minnesota Vikings 18 to 1

NFC South

New Orleans Saints 5 to 4

Carolina Panthers 5 to 2

Atlanta Falcons 3 to 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 to 1

NFC West

Seattle Seahawks 10 to 11

San Francisco 49ers 6 to 5

St. Louis Cardinals 10 to 1

St. Louis Rams 12 to 1

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