Odds for 20 NFL Teams to Make the 2015-16 Playoffs

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The NFL season will not start for another four plus months, but that does not stop bookmakers from releasing odds for futures betting.

One sportsbook in Las Vegas and others offshore have opened the wagering for the playoff prospects of 20 NFL teams during the upcoming 2015-16 season.

Indianapolis and Seattle are the two teams with the shortest odds to make the NFL postseason, with their Yes side at -350. Those two teams are followed by defending NFL Champions the New England Patriots at -320 to enter the playoffs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are -130 to reach the postseason this NFL season after not making the playoffs this past season when the team lost three of its final four games and finished just 10-6.

New Orleans also did not reach the playoffs last season, but are at even money to reach the postseason this season.

Four teams from last year that made the playoffs – Carolina, Cincinnati, Detroit and Arizona are underdogs the return the postseason. Of the four, the one with the longest odds is Arizona at +155.

These odds reflect trades that took place during the signing of free agents. However, the NFL Draft is Thursday and that could help change this board, as teams look for the best group of draftees they can acquire.

The New England Patriots were listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl next season after winning the Vince Lombardi trophy this season. This season Seattle is also expected to be strong in the NFC, battling with the Packers, Cowboys and Eagles for a spot in the postseason.

New England in this poll is No. 2 to reach the playoffs, with Indianapolis at the top.

2015-16 NFL Playoff Prop

Colts: Yes -350, No +275
Seahawks: Yes -350, No +275
Patriots: Yes -320, No +250
Packers: Yes -280, No +230
Broncos: Yes -230, No +185
Cowboys: Yes -140, No +110
Eagles: -130, No +100
Ravens: Yes -120, No -110
Steelers: Yes -115, No -115
Saints: Yes +100, No -130
Panthers: Yes +120, No -150
Bengals: Yes +120, No -150
Texans: Yes +120, No -150
Lions: Yes +130, No -170
Chiefs: Yes +135, No -165
Bills: Yes +140, No -170
Chargers: Yes +145, No -175
Cardinals: Yes +155, No -185
Dolphins: Yes +155, No -185
49ers Yes +175, No -210

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Odds Makers Adjust Super Bowl 50 Odds Following Frenzy of …

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Odds makers did not make many adjustments to the Super Bowl 50 futures boards when it was released this past Sunday, even though a number of free agents moves were confirmed, but not yet finalized.

However, after the free agent and trade frenzy on Tuesday afternoon and into Wednesday, odds makers had to make a number of adjustments. According to Bovada and betonline, this many adjustments at this time of year are unparalleled.

Seattle was involved in a huge trade when they acquired Jimmy Graham the talented quarterback from the New Orleans Saints. The trade was a shock to most people and the Seahawks went from 6 to 1 to 5 to 1 and a co-favorite with the New England Patriots to win Super Bowl 50.

Indianapolis made a significant move with its acquisition of Trent Cole a defensive end from Philadelphia and the signing of Andre Johnson and Frank Cole two veteran free agents. The acquisitions shortened the odds for the Colts to 12 to 1 from 15 to 1 and eventually all the way to their current 10 to 1.

Others that had their odds shortened included the New York Jets who signed Darrelle Revis to a free agent contract. According to topbet and sportsbook.com, the odds for the Jets shortened from 100 to 1 to 40 to 1.

Two teams saw their odds lengthened following the frenzy of activity on Tuesday.

The Philadelphia Eagles who traded quarterback Nick Foles for quarterback Sam Bradford saw their odds lengthened to 30 to 1 from 25 to 1. However, there are rumors that the Eagles could use their new QB to trade up and take Marcus Mariota in the draft.

The San Francisco 49ers saw their odds grow from 25 to 1 to 40 to 1 after losing top players Patrick Willis and Justin Smith to retirement and Frank Gore to free agency. The team has a new head coach and a new system to learn hence the movement of the odds.

Odds are that there will be other adjustments as other big name free agents sign and trades are made. Following this frenzy of activity, the NFL Draft will be the next place that movement of the odds could take place.

Super Bowl 50 Odds

Seattle Seahawks 5 to 1

New England Patriots 5 to 1

Green Bay Packers 7 to 1

Denver Broncos 10 to 1

Indianapolis Colts 10 to 1

Dallas Cowboys 15 to 1

Baltimore Ravens 25 to 1

Pittsburgh Steelers 25 to 1

New York Giants 28 to 1

Philadelphia Eagles 28 to 1

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2015 NFL Win Totals Posted by Odds Makers

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Super Bowl XLIX was played just 17 days ago and the win totals for the 2015 season have already been posted for futures wagering online and in Las Vegas.

According to Bovada and betonline, the Seattle Seahawks are projected to win 11 games during the 2015 season, which is the high for the league, while the reigning Super Bowl champion New England Patriots are projected to win 10.5 games.

A number of teams expected to improve their win totals by two or more games were middle of the pack teams this past NFL season. Among those teams are the New Orleans Saints, New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons.

According to topbet and sportsbook.com, the Arizona Cardinals a playoff team with 11 wins during the recently ended NFL season despite a number of issues with quarterbacks going down injured were given a win total of 8.

The Dallas Cowboys should according to the numbers posted drop from their 12-win total of this past season as they have been projected to win 9.5 games.

The Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos are also expected to win fewer games next season than this season, although the two teams are two of just four teams that opened with win totals in the double digits. The win total for the Pittsburgh Steelers has been listed at 8.5, which is two and a half games down from their total of 11 wins this past season. The Oakland Raiders are at the bottom of the heap as they are projected to win just 4.5 games, while the Tennessee Titans are at 5 games and the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 5.5 wins.

2015 NFL Projected win totals, 2014 win totals
49ers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 8
Bears 7 wins, 2014 wins: 5
Bengals 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Bills 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Broncos 10 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Browns 6 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Buccaneers 5.5 wins, 2014 wins: 2
Cardinals 8 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Chargers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Chiefs 8.5, 2014 wins: 9
Colts 9.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Cowboys 9.5 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Dolphins 8 wins, 2014 wins: 8
Eagles 9 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Falcons 8 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Giants 8 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Jaguars 5.5 wins, 2014 wins: 3
Jets 6.5 wins, 2014 wins: 4
Lions 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Packers 10 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Panthers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Patriots 10.5 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Raiders 4.5 wins, 2014 wins: 3
Rams 7.5 wins, 2014 wins: 6
Ravens 9 wins, 2014 wins: 10
Redskins 6 wins, 2014 wins: 4
Saints 9 wins, 2014 wins: 7
Seahawks 11 wins, 2014 wins: 12
Steelers 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 11
Texans 8.5 wins, 2014 wins: 9
Titans 5 wins, 2014 wins: 2
Vikings 6.5 wins, 2014 wins: 7

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Odds to Win Super Bowl 50

SB 50
SB 50

Super Bowl 50 Odds are out and there are few surprises among the favorites.

You’ll notice immediately I used the term ’50′ instead f the Roman numeral ‘L.’ This is because the National Football League recognized the potential issues by having their marquee game represented with a big ‘L.’ This often stands for “loser” or well…. You get the picture.

Anyway with the season officially over, here are your odds for next season already.

Odds to win the 2016 Super Bowl  

Seattle Seahawks                            5/1 – Can they overcome perhaps the toughest loss in Super Bowl history?

New England Patriots                   7/1 – As usual, this team will look different in several areas as they attempt to repeat.

Green Bay Packers                         8/1 – Another team struggling to get past a horrible loss. At least it wasn’t in the Super Bowl.

Denver Broncos                             10/1 – Keep an eye on this, if Manning doesn’t return, the odds will drop considerably.

Dallas Cowboys                             14/1 – Can they repeat the success of this past year and what about Dez Bryant’s contract?

Indianapolis Colts                         14/1 – Must solidify the running game and the running defense to build around Andrew Luck.

Philadelphia Eagles                      20/1 – Late season swoon should be forgotten as Nick Foles returns under center.

Kaepernick

Colin Kaepernick must avoid these situations in 2015 and under a new coaching staff how easy will it be?

San Francisco 49ers                      20/1 – With Harbaugh gone, can Jim Tomsula get Colin Kaepernick back on track and can the defense get younger?

New Orleans Saints                       22/1 – Rob Ryan returns despite a brutal defense in 2014 but the offense needs some work too behind an aging Drew Brees.

Pittsburgh Steelers                         25/1 – Offense was prolific, but defense needs serious upgrades. Ben Roethlisberger contract situation a top priority too.

Arizona Cardinals                          33/1 – Imagine what this team could do with consistent QB play? Larry Fitzgerald contract also an issue.

Baltimore Ravens                           33/1 – Ravens blew 14-point lead to eventual champion Pats; pieces are there but depth needed.

Detroit Lions                                   33/1 – Big step for the entire organization in 2014, but Matthew Stafford must play better on a consistent basis.

Atlanta Falcons                             40/1 – Team has addressed defensive liabilities by bringing in Dan Quinn; now the talent must get better.

Carolina Panthers                         40/1 – Under .500 division title likely saved Ron Rivera’s job but team must improve in 2015.

Chicago Bears                                 40/1 – John Fox will bring in some stability but can he do anything to make Jay Cutler better?

Cincinnati Bengals                        40/1 – Andy Dalton is now in a must-win situation. Getting to the playoffs is nice, but 0-4 is unacceptable.

Houston Texans                              40/1 – Who is the QB entering the season and can J.J. Watt get some help on the defensive end?

Kansas City Chiefs                          40/1 – Chiefs must get more out of wide receivers and keeping Justin Houston on D a priority.

Miami Dolphins                              40/1 – Somewhat surprisingly, Joe Philbin is back but he’ll need to find more consistency from his entire team.

Minnesota Vikings                         40/1 – There’s a lot to like in Minnesota but still many pieces to be put in place by Mike Zimmer.

New York Giants                             40/1 – I’m a little surprised to see Tom Coughlin back and his fate will rest on Eli Manning’s shoulders.

San Diego Chargers                        40/1 – When is the last time Philip Rivers won a huge game? Chargers’ fans would like to know.

St. Louis Rams                                 40/1 – If this team gets consistently good QB play are they a team to watch in 2015?

Buffalo Bills                                      66/1 – Kind of an odd hire in Rex Ryan. Defense wasn’t the problem in Western New York.

Cleveland Browns                          66/1 – One QB (Hoyer) is a free agent and wasn’t great. The other QB (Manziel) is now in rehab.

New York Jets                                   100/1 – Will Todd Bowles stick with Geno Smith or does he have another agenda?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers                  100/1 – Mariota or Winston? There are risks and rewards for each.

Tennessee Titans                             100/1 – If they decide to go QB, they’ll likely be stuck with whoever is left over after Tampa selects.

Washington Redskins                    100/1 – My gut tells me Jay Gruden would love to move on from RGIII but he won’t. Can he stay healthy is the question.

Jacksonville Jaguars                       200/1 – Don’t be a bit surprised if this team is greatly improved. Skill players needed but there is a decent nucleus.

Oakland Raiders                               200/1 – I’m not overly impressed with the Jack Del Rio hire. Someone to groom Derek Carr would have been better.

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Breaking Down Super Bowl XLIX

Brady
Brady

I believe Super Bowl XLIX will come down to a final drive and Tom Brady will be under center for it. Will he be successful?

My favorite part of the the two weeks leading up to the playing of the actual Super Bowl is… The playing of the actual Super Bowl.

On Sunday night, we will be able to finally stop worrying about deflate-gate, what Marshawn Lynch says or doesn’t say and whether Idina Menzel has messed up the national anthem or not. In short, it will finally be time to play football.

Choosing who to go with in Super Bowl XLIX has not been easy. There are so many factors that must be considered for both teams and of course we can never predict turnovers or how the game is called by the officials. Nevertheless, I think I have a good read on this game so see whether you agree or not by reading on.

Super Bowl XLIX New England Patriots (-2) vs Seattle Seahawks (O/U 47.5) – Let’s take everything off the field off the table. That means let’s focus on the two teams and not deflate-gate or Marshawn Lynch’s hat.

Tom Brady is making his sixth start in a Super Bowl and he’s lost his last two which were both against the New York Giants. In the prior five Super Bowls, the game has come down to the final drive and I feel this one will be no different.

Seahawks

Look for both Kam Chancellor and Earl Thomas to be involved with covering Rob Gronkowski.

If we analyze both of the Patriots’ losses, the Giants were able to get consistent pressure up the middle on Brady and most of that pressure came from just the front four defensive linemen. The Seahawks are significantly better than the Giants were in the secondary but can they get the same type of pressure the Giants did?

My assumption is that the Patriots will learn from Denver’s struggles last year in the Super Bowl and they will not abandon the run. The problem is whether Josh McDaniels chooses to use LeGarrette Blount or another running back like Jonas Gray. Seattle must also decide how they are going to cover Rob Gronkowski. Will they attempt to keep a linebacker on him or will Kam Chancellor or Earl Thomas be stuck with that assignment?

When the Seahawks are on offense, they will know that Bill Belichick typically likes to take away his opponent’s best player. Common sense points us to that being Russell Wilson or Marshawn Lynch. Pete Carroll and offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell will be prepared and I think you’ll see more read-option from Seattle than we’ve seen recently from them this season.

If they find any success with that, the passing game will open up, especially on the edges and to the tight ends. Will that be enough to keep New England on it’s heels defensively?

Obviously the one area we can’t forget is special teams. Turnovers or major mistakes here are likely to be disastrous as close as I expect this game to be.

Trends: The total has gone UNDER in six of New England’s last eight games… Seattle is 6-2 straight up in their last eight games against New England… The Patriots are 2-6 against the spread in their last right games against the Seahawks… Seattle is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.

Key Injuries: NE C Brian Stork QUES/Knee, CB Brandon Browner QUES/Knee… SEA S Earl Thomas QUES/Shoulder

The Pick:  No one holds a lead as well as the Seahawks but I think they will fall behind early. Tom Brady has an opportunity to seal his legacy as an all-time great with a win and to do it, he’ll need a touchdown to win the game late. I think Seattle takes its’ first lead in the second half and holds on to win 27-23. Take the Seahawks and the points and take the OVER.

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Strong Argument for the OVER in Super Bowl XLIX

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For Sunday’s Super Bowl between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks odds maker opened the total points at 49 but that has been bet down to 48, with a few going as well as 47.5.

Even though the Seahawks are known for having an outstanding defense, No. 1 in the league against the score, there are strong arguments for both the OVER and UNDER in Super Bowl XLIX.

However, the OVER will be discussed here with the UNDER to follow tomorrow.

In the regular season, New England averaged 30.3 points a game, which gave them a 9-7 OVER and 1-1 during the postseason.

New England has lost just four games all season and if you throw out its meaningless lost to Buffalo 17-9, to end the regular season they lost 33-20 to Miami, 41-14 to Kansas City and 26-21 to Green Bay.

If you look into all those road losses, you will find that the Patriots allowed 10 touchdowns and 10 field goals and if the opposing offensives had been more productive in the red zone, the scores could have been much higher.

Seattle’s defense is No. 1 in scoring, but is it due to how good they are or how poor the quarterbacks have been that have played them. In the postseason, Cam Newton led Carolina to three scores on the Seahawks and he was intercepted once as well in the end zone.

Green Bay, led by Aaron Rodgers had six scores but just one touchdown. Was it great defense or poor offensive execution?

Other talented quarterbacks have also had success this season against Seattle, Tony Romo and Philip Rivers both helped their teams score 30 points against Seattle.

The key to shutting the offense for Seattle down is stopping the ground game and putting pressure on Russell Wilson the quarterback.

Of course easier said than accomplished and the defense for New England has no sacks in two playoff games this season.

In its past 9 games versus AFC opponents, Seattle has scored an average of 28.5 points and the OVER in those games was 7-2.

In its four games versus NFC North teams this season, the Patriots scored 21, 30, 34 and 51 points.

Patriots coach Bill Belichick is praised often for defensive schemes but the team has not been super when playing outside Gillette Stadium during the postseason. The defense has allowed an average of 26 point a game in road playoff games and 21 per game in its five Super Bowls.

In seven games in the postseason with Wilson as quarterback, the OVER is 4-3 for Seattle, of which three straight have cashed OVER.

At 48 points, the total could easily cash OVER with New England winning 28-24.

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Bookmakers NFL Conference Championship Sunday Hurt by …

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For the second consecutive season, both No. 1 seeds from the AFC and NFC conferences advanced to play in the Super Bowl.

Each of the teams however took different routes to arrive at Super Bowl XLIX.

While the New England Patriots routed the Colts, the Seattle Seahawks pulled off a shocking comeback to win in overtime.

Bookmakers did not enjoy their NFL Conference Championship Sunday. New England winning big hurt many of them, as not much money came in over the weekend on the Colts.

Most of the sharp money arrived early on the Colts +7, which happened after the announcement of the injury to Bryan Stork the rookie center for Patriots.

However, on a number of levels, the big surprise was in Seattle.

Green Bay could have won at +325 on the moneyline for Bovada and sportsbook.com, leading 19-7 with under three minutes to play.

The UNDER sitting on 45 also seemed quite safe at that point, even after a touchdown by Seattle cut the Packers lead to 19-14.

However, after the Seahawks scored an improbable touchdown to lead 22-19 with just 90 seconds remaining, the UNDER died on a field goal of 48 yards by Green Bay to force overtime.

The moneyline bets for Green Bay were then killed when Seattle scored a touchdown only 4 minutes into the OT period.

However, the Packers were able to cash in as dogs by 8.5 points, which for sportsbooks such as topbet and betonline was much worse. Seattle winning the game outright late and the OVER cashing at the end of regulation, was not good for most books.

The Seattle win also triggered a number of moneyline bets as well as teasers.

The Patriots are now -1 on most books for Super Bowl XLIX to be played in Arizona. Seattle opened as 2.5-point chalk, but before the AFC Championship Game was even over, support on New England came in to bet it down to the current New England -1.

This is the third time a Super Bowl has been played in Arizona. It will be the second played at University of Phoenix Stadium.

The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers in Super Bowl XXX in 1995 27-17 to claim their third Super Bowl in four years.

However, Pittsburgh was able to cover as a 13.5-point dog, while the UNDER cashed on 51 with a point total for the game of 44.

In 2007, New England lost its opportunity to go 19-0 when the New York Giants beat them 17-14 in Super Bowl XLII. The Giants were 12-point dogs in the game. The UNDER, at 55, easily cashed on a point total of just 31.

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