Three really good games scheduled for tonight are the ones I’m looking at for your wagering pleasure so let’s not waste any more time and get to the games.
Detroit (-140) at Texas (+120), O/U 10 – Rick Porcello 9-4 vs. Nick Martinez 1-4,
The Tigers have to be baseball’s version of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde considering the way they have played over the last six weeks. They are currently on a six-game winning streak and look to sweep the Rangers tonight in Arlington. Taking the mound for Detroit is Rick Porcello who is quietly having a very nice season.
Porcello is 1-1 in his last three starts and has an ERA of 4.00. That isn’t spectacular by any measure but that’s kind of the way he does things in a nutshell. His opponent for the injury-riddled Rangers is Nick Martinez who faces an incredibly hot-hitting Tigers’ line-up which doesn’t bode well. Martinez is 0-2 with an ERA of 7.20 in his last three starts.
This one seems too easy and it probably is but I love the OVER and I like the Tigers to win.
St. Louis (-125) at LA Dodgers (+105), O/U 6.5 – Adam Wainwright 10-3 vs. Josh Beckett 5-4,
This game features two teams who are both in second place in their respective divisions. They are also fighting to close the gaps on the leaders that sit in front of them. The Cardinals are 4.5 games back of Milwaukee and have gone 6-4 in their last ten outings. The Dodgers are 3.5 games back of the San Francisco Giants and have gone 7-3 over their last ten games.
This one will be about the pitching. Wainwright is having another excellent season for the Cards. He has gone 2-0 in his last three starts and has a sterling ERA of 1.17. His last start was an eight inning win over Philadelphia where he gave up just six hits and one run. Josh Beckett takes the mound for LA and while he hasn’t been as impressive as Wainwright, he does have a no-hitter to his credit.
Beckett is 2-1 in his last three starts and he has an excellent ERA of 1.35 in that stretch. The Dodgers will pose a tough threat to Wainwright as they are third in the National League in batting. I love the UNDER tonight and I like the Dodgers in a close game.
Cincinnati (EVEN) at San Francisco (-120), O/U 7.5 – Mike Leake 5-6 vs. Ryan Vogelsong 5-3,
So you’re Ryan Vogelsong and you’re having a decent year and now you have to take the hill at home just a day after your teammate throws a no-hitter. Such is life for a big-leaguer… Vogelsong gets the nod today against the Cincinnati Reds following Tim Lincecum’s no-no against the San Diego Padres yesterday.
In the grand scheme of things, that doesn’t mean a lot but it’s hard to avoid knowing that history was made in the exact same spot that you’re getting ready to work on. That aside, Vogelsong is 1-1 in his last three starts but he also has an alarming ERA of 7.31. He could get healthy tonight against a Reds’ line-up that ranks 10th in the National League.
His counter-part Mike Leake is 2-1 in his last three starts and is coming off a gem against Toronto in which he went eight innings and gave up just one run. The Reds have won seven of their last ten yet remain 7.5 games out of first in the NL Central. The Giants have won just three of their last ten but could be motivated by the Lincecum no-hitter.
The stats are hard to ignore going into tonight. I like the Reds and the OVER.