Day one of the NBA Playoffs ends with two evening matchups as the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Chicago Bulls and the Dallas Mavericks take on intrastate rival the Houston Rockets.
Bucks vs. Bulls
Milwaukee this season was 41-41 SU straight up and 45-35-2 against the spread. Chicago was 50-32 SU and 39-43 ATS.
The line on the series has Chicago -700 and the Bucks +525.
The Game 1 line has Chicago -7.5 with the point total at 185.5.
Chicago has a number of players on its injury report, but all of them are expected to play. Milwaukee is one of the league’s best teams against the spread on the road. The Bucks are 26-14-1 against the number as a visitor and a solid 29-20-1 ATS when an underdog.
Chicago was 3-1 SU as well as ATS against Milwaukee this season. All four games cashed UNDER. The Bucks on the season were 45-37 on the UNDER.
While the point total is making an adjustment downward thanks to four straight UNDERs from the two teams head to head, if it stays at 180 or higher there is good value going UNDER. The play is Bulls and UNDER here.
Mavericks vs. Rockets
This season Dallas was 50-32 SU and 35-44-3 ATS and Houston was 56-26 SU and 48-43 ATS.
The odds for the series have Houston -270 and Dallas +230.
The line for Game 1 is Houston -5.5 and the point total 209.5.
Houston was a one of the top three teams against the number this season. As a favorite the Rockets were 34-22 ATS and at home 26-15 ATS. Dallas was just 8-16 ATS as a dog and on the road 15-23-3 ATS. Chandler Parsons is questionable for Dallas due to a knee injury that has sidelined him for six straight games.
This season Houston was 3-1 SU as well as ATS versus Dallas and each of the four games cashed to the UNDER.
However, do not count the Mavs out just yet, as they have played well all season against talented competition.
Houston covered 11 of its final 17 games of the season. The Rockets have not played that well of late. Dwight Howard has returned and is now in playing shape and that should help Houston defensively.
Each of the four head-to-head games between the two cashed UNDER, but that is against the trend for both teams. Houston will set the pace of the game and Dallas does not have the talent on defense to stop them. The Rockets and the OVER are the way to play.