As we enter the middle of the NFL season, the gridiron action continues to heat up and the stakes continue to be raised. There are certainly surprises every week, but there are also solid betting opportunities you can rely on. Here are my top three picks for week seven.
Rams to cover +5 against Packers
You may be skeptical about this one for obvious reasons, most of them having to do with history. I know the Packers are supposed to be one of the league’s best teams and the Rams one of the worst, but let’s look at the facts. Not only are these teams both 3-3, but the Rams are at home for this one, where they are 3-0 on the season. Yes, the Packers were impressive in their dismantling of the Texans a week ago, but they have been inconsistent to say the least and have struggled on the road (1-2). If the Rams can run the ball at least somewhat effectively and keep the ball away from Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense, expect them to not only cover the five point spread, but possibly win outright this week.
Saints to cover -1 against Buccaneers
Obviously the Saints are not as good of a team overall as they have been in years past, but they are unquestionably much better than their 1-4 record suggests. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, are pretty much what we expected coming into the season. They are still a young, inexperienced group that is limited offensively. The Bucs are at home this week where they are 2-1 this season, but with the number one passing offense against the second worst pass defense, there’s no doubt that the Saints should impose their will on them early and win this one by more than one point.
Ravens to cover +7 against Texans
The Texans should be the favorite in this game, but by seven? The Ravens will be on the road and without Ray Lewis, who was injured for the season last week, however this is still a 5-1 team that’s only loss was by one point. And remember that 42-24 GB win over Houston I mentioned earlier? That game certainly exposed the Texans defense and should give Baltimore a blueprint to go off, but it’s not like they needed that much more help. This is an offense that’s scored just 12 fewer points all season than Houston, a team that is considered to be one of the league’s best. Sure, Houston should prevail at home, but not by seven. Take Baltimore to cover in this one.