UNDER Looks Solid for Super Bowl XLIX

As promised today’s storyline will be why the UNDER could cash in Sunday’s Super Bowl XLIX between the AFC Champion New England Patriots and the NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks.

The Super Bowl odds makers are receiving much more action to date on the UNDER bringing the opening line from 49 down to 47.

Much of that is due to the strength of the Seattle defense the last eight games. The Seahawks have allowed just 78 points over their past 8 games played overall, but 39 of those have been in their last two playoff games.

According to Bovada and betonline, the majority of wagering on the Super Bowl will take place between late Friday and Sunday’s kickoff.

According to topbet and sportsbook.com, last year’s Super Bowl opened at 48.5 and was bet down to 47.5 points and this season’s game is very similar.

Why the UNDER is a Good Play

  • In the two previous Super Bowls played in Arizona, both cashed on the UNDER.
  • New England has only scored 17 points in each of its past two Super Bowls,
  • Seattle has played in just two Super Bowls, allowing 21 points in Super Bowl XL and eight last season in Super Bowl XLVIII.
  • Despite leading the league in scoring, the Patriots on the road average just 25.5 point per game compared to Gillette Stadium at 34.4 points per game.
  • In its past three games away from Gillette Stadium the Patriots games have all cashed on the UNDER.
  • Similar to the Patriots, Seattle’s last game on the road was December 21. The Seahawks in their past three road games have given up a combined 23 points, with the UNDER going 2-1.
  • Seattle was the league leader in points allowed at 16.3 per game during the regular season, while New England was No. 6 at 17.2 per game.
  • Seattle is impressive in giving up points in the second half. In its past eight games, Seattle has given up a combined 23 points during the second half. Seattle has won each of the eight while covering 7 of the 8.
  • The highest point total Seattle has had all season was 48. That occurred on two occasions with both games cashing on the UNDER.
  • Under Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, the UNDER is 17-11 during the postseason for the Patriots, which includes the UNDER of 4-1 in the Patriots five previous Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick.
  • The one game that cashed OVER of the past five Super Bowls the Patriots have played in was the lowest total they have played to at 38 points.
  • New England beat Carolina 32-29 in 2004 in that game. Two of the quarters in that game were scoreless, while two others featured 24 and 37 points scored.
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