One of the largest lines in pro football history awaits you as do a couple of rare home dogs as well. Check them out!
Pittsburgh at NY Jets (Pick’em) – This game has moved from minus three in favor of Pittsburgh to minus three in favor of New York and now moves to a straight pick’em game. The reason? Part of it deals with Steelers’ defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau having a 15-2 all-time record against rookie quarterbacks and on of those games was a meaningless one to finish a season.
Another reason is that the Jets put on an excellent show Monday night in defeating the Falcons in Atlanta. The Steelers are winless on the year while the Jets have been one of the surprise teams of the NFL but they face injuries on defense and a suspension to their leading receiver Kellen Winslow.
I think the Steelers, who are coming off a bye, will catch the Jets at the right time. The Jets are 2-6 in their last eight home games against the spread when hosting the Steelers. I like a Steelers’ victory today.
Jacksonville (+27) at Denver – The most interesting line of the pro football season is going to be very enticing for millions of people. I have no doubts that the Broncos can easily win this game by more than 27 points but will they call of the dogs too early and give up meaningless points late? How long do you keep Peyton Manning in the game as well?
The Jags are losing by an average of 22 points per game this year. Therefore, why should we think the hottest team in the NFL can’t tack on five or more points to that total? There are two numbers to keep in mind here. The Broncos are just 1-5 straight up in their last six against the Jags and are just 2-4 in their last six against the spread when hosting Jacksonville.
I have every reason to believe that Denver covers but I fear late scores will be the difference so take the Jags.
Detroit (-3) at Cleveland – This line is likely to change after I go to press because of the status of Detroit wide receiver Calvin Johnson. He practiced a little this week but has been deemed a game-time decision. If he doesn’t play, that will alter things dramatically. Last week without him they managed just nine points against a Green Bay defense that is decent, but not that decent.
The Browns are coming off a mini-bye of sorts following their Thursday night win over Buffalo. That was their third-straight win following their 0-2 start and trade of Trent Richardson. The Lions are just 8-14-1 against the spread in their last 23 road games and is 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road.
Despite the fact that Brian Hoyer was lost for the season, I think Brandon Weeden gained some confidence in replacing him. I really like the Browns in this one.
Philadelphia (-3) at Tampa Bay – Believe it or not there is a chance this game might not be played because a third Tampa Bay player has been diagnosed with a MRSA infection. It’s a situation that the Bucs have now faced twice this season. Sadly, it’s just one more thing the Buccaneers have had to handle this season.
Josh Freeman is gone and the reins have been handed over to rookie Mike Glennon. Philadelphia may have a QB issue of its’ own if Michael Vick can’t go because of a hamstring but Nick Foles is much more capable than Glennon is.
The Eagles have had no problems scoring but their defense is giving up an alarming amount of points as well. No matter, because the Bucs can’t score as they’re averaging just 11 points per game. Tampa is 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games against Philly so I love the Eagles to cover today.