Week 1 NFC Betting Trends

The kickoff for the NFL season is just two weeks away and odds makers are sharpening their pencils and checking out the volumes of trends taking place currently and that have taken place during the past.

There is a large amount of data one can sift through when it comes to determining who to bet on, what type of bet to make and how much to wager.

The first week of the NFL season was very profitable for those betting the UNDER until three seasons ago.

Between 2003 and 2010, games in Week 1 finished the O/U at 50-77-1. That was a rate of 61% for the UNDER. However, since 2011, the games in Week 1 are 29-18-1 O/U for a cash rate of 62% on the OVER.

This year if looks as if the OVER trend will continue. Teams have not been able to adjust to the new strict defensive holding and illegal contact enforcement as a large number of yellow hankies are littering the NFL playing fields crippling the defenses.

Through just two weeks of this year’s preseason, there have been 56 flags for illegal contact. That is in comparison to just 54 for the entire preseason last year.
Officials have said that the call will be whistled the same way during the regular season.

Some Week 1 Betting Trends in the NFC

East

The New York Giants have a record of 16-2-31 ATS since 2009 at home. The UNDER has cashed in 12 of 16 games on the road the past 2 seasons.

Since 2010, the Dallas Cowboys as favorites are 10-27-1 ATS. In home games for Dallas since 2009, the OVER is 25-15.

The Washington Redskins since 2010 in divisional matchups are 15-9 ATS.

The Philadelphia Eagles have a record of 14-28 ATS since 2010 in non-division matchups.

West

Arizona is 12-7-1 ATS as a dog on the road, and 19-12-1 ATS overall as a dog the last three seasons.

Seattle is an incredible 24-9-1 ATS in games that are non-division over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 16-8-1 in division games for Seattle during the Peter Carroll era.

San Francisco is 27-8-2 ATS under Jim Harbaugh in games outside the NFC West. The 49ers are 10-4-1 ATS as a dog on the road during that same period.

North

Detroit is 13-23-1 ATS versus teams in the NFC since 2011.

Green Bay is 20-11 ATS since 2010 as a favorite at home.

South

Atlanta has a record of 30-22-2 ATS since 2009 as a favorite.

The Carolina Panthers, as a favorite at home since 2011, are 9-4-1 ATS. When Carolina is a favorite at home since 2010, the UNDER is 13-4.

New Orleans is 33-14 ATS since 2008 as a favorite at home.

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