It is difficult to believe but in Week 14 104 touchdowns were scored, even though Mother Nature played a huge role in four games in the East. The 104 touchdowns are the most ever scored in any one week in the NFL. The total points scored of 859 were also more than in any other week in league history.
Because of those points being scored, it is no surprise that overall 11 of the 16 games for the weekend ended OVER.
Many lessons were learned or should have been learned from Week 14.
- Dallas’ defense is lost against a good offense. The Cowboys did not stop Chicago’s balanced offensive attack in their 17-point loss to the Bears. Going forward, the Cowboys should beat Green Bay, especially if the Packers do not have Aaron Rodgers. Dallas should beat Washington as well as the ‘skins will be without Robert Griffin III. However, Dallas ends the season against Philadelphia and the Eagles strong offense spells trouble with a capital “T” for the Dallas “D” to end the regular season.
- It is hard to consider going UNDER in a Denver game when wagering on Bovada or another reliable sports book online such as topbet, sportsbook.com or betonline. It was brutally cold in the Denver game last Sunday, with temperatures at the start of the game 18 degrees. However, that did not seem to affect quarterback Peyton Manning who set a franchise record with 39 completions. The veteran also tossed 4 touchdown passes on the day. The point total in the game was 49 and Denver had that alone. Thus far, after 13 games, the OVER has cashed 11 times in Denver games.
- On the other side of the coin, the UNDER has looked strong in Carolina Panthers games. The UNDER is 9-4 in the 13 games Carolina has played. No other team in the league has fewer OVER games than Carolina. Helping the UNDER in Carolina games is that they lead the NFL in time of possession, in fewest points allowed and are just No. 17 in points scored offensively.
- Atlanta has become a solid bet over the past three games. The Falcons have covered each of their past three games.
- Minnesota, like Atlanta has covered its past three games and five of its past six overall. Minnesota is a respectable 7-6 ATS this season. The OVER is 10-3 in Minnesota’s 13 games played.
- Before taking Cleveland against the spread, check who is starting at quarterback. When Brian Hoyer or Jason Campbell is the starter, Cleveland is 6-2 ATS, but when Brandon Weeden is the signal caller, the Browns are 0-5 ATS.
- It is a tough bet to go against the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle has covered in its past four games. Last week it was a 2.5-point dog on the road in San Francisco, but covered in a 19-17 loss. Seattle is 9-4 ATS in their 13 games this season. Three of their four non-covers were when the Seahawks were laying 10 points or more.
Numbers are such an important part of betting on sports and are a bookmakers best weapon when picking spread and over/under.